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Prediction published on Apr 2, 2026 6:02 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Apr 2, 2026 6:02 AM
The Liga MX returns after the international break with an intriguing clash between Puebla and Juárez at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc, corresponding to matchday 13 of the Clausura 2025. Both teams arrive with contrasting objectives but share the same urgency to climb the table and strengthen their chances of reaching the Liguilla. The home side seeks to recover from a difficult run of results, while the visitors aim to consolidate their position in the top half of the standings.
Puebla currently sit 14th in the Liga MX table, with three wins, three draws, and six defeats, totaling 12 points. Their campaign has been inconsistent, marked by defensive fragility and a lack of continuity in attack. The team has scored 10 goals and conceded 15 so far, showing a negative balance that has kept them near the lower positions.
In their last five matches, Puebla have recorded two victories, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 loss against Santos Laguna on March 22, following a goalless draw with Necaxa and another 2-1 defeat to Pachuca. The last win dates back to their clash against Tigres three matches ago, a result that provided a brief boost before their current winless streak.
Throughout the season, Puebla’s record stands at six wins, six draws, and seventeen losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Their home performances have been irregular, with only two of their last ten home fixtures ending with fewer than 0.5 total goals. This suggests that, despite their defensive issues, their matches tend to produce scoring opportunities on both ends.
Juárez arrive in better shape, positioned 10th in the table with four wins, two draws, and five defeats, totaling 14 points. Their attacking production has been one of their main strengths, with 18 goals scored and 20 conceded, reflecting a dynamic but vulnerable style of play. The team continues to fight for a Liguilla spot, currently just a few points away from the qualification zone.
In their last five matches, Juárez have achieved three victories, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their latest result was a 2-1 win over Tigres UANL on March 23, following a 2-2 draw against Monterrey and a 3-1 loss to Toluca. This sequence highlights their offensive consistency but also their defensive instability, as they have conceded at least one goal in 20 of their last 21 Liga MX matches.
Over the course of the season, Juárez’s record stands at eleven wins, eight draws, and thirteen losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. Notably, all of their last ten league games have seen at least one goal scored in the second half, confirming their tendency to remain competitive until the final whistle.
The recent history between Puebla and Juárez has been high-scoring and unpredictable. Their last encounter ended in a spectacular 4-4 draw on October 25, 2025. In their last five meetings, Puebla have won once, drawn once, and lost three times, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game. These numbers suggest that both teams tend to produce open, attacking football when facing each other.
From a tactical perspective, Puebla will likely seek to take advantage of their home ground to regain confidence and control possession. However, their defensive weaknesses could be exploited by Juárez’s fast transitions and offensive efficiency. The visitors, on the other hand, must improve their defensive concentration, as their tendency to concede late goals has cost them valuable points throughout the season.
Both sides have shown a clear pattern of matches with multiple goals. In fact, three of Puebla’s last five games have ended with more than 2.5 total goals, while Juárez have scored in nearly every recent outing. Given these trends, the upcoming clash promises to be entertaining, with both teams likely to find the net.
Considering the attacking form of both teams and their defensive vulnerabilities, the BetMines prediction for this match is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a probability of 53%. Puebla’s need to react at home and Juárez’s offensive momentum suggest a lively encounter where goals are expected on both sides.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Puebla
Juárez
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
9
1