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Prediction published on Mar 12, 2026 2:02 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Mar 12, 2026 2:02 AM
The Liga MX Clausura 2026 continues with an intriguing clash between Puebla and Necaxa, two sides looking to climb the table as the competition reaches its midpoint. The match will take place at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc, where the hosts will try to take advantage of their home form to secure three valuable points. Puebla currently sit in the middle of the standings, while Necaxa are struggling near the bottom, making this encounter crucial for both teams’ ambitions.
Puebla enter this fixture ranked 10th in Liga MX with 11 points, showing a mixed record of three wins, two draws, and five defeats so far in the Clausura 2026. Their latest outing ended in a 2-1 loss against Pachuca, a result that interrupted a decent run of form. Over their last five matches, Puebla have recorded two victories and three defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Despite their inconsistency, they remain a competitive side at home, where they recently defeated Tigres 3-1.
Throughout the season, Puebla have accumulated six wins, five draws, and sixteen losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Their attacking output has been modest, but they have shown flashes of quality, particularly through Jose Pachuca, who has already found the net once this campaign. In defense, Juan Pablo Vargas has been a key figure, contributing one goal, three clean sheets, and an average of 3.7 recoveries per game. Goalkeeper Ricardo Gutierrez has also been reliable, averaging 1.3 goals conceded per match with a 73% save rate.
Necaxa arrive at this match in 16th place, struggling to find stability in the Clausura 2026. Their campaign so far includes three wins and seven defeats, reflecting a difficult period for the club. In their most recent match, they suffered a 1-0 loss against Pumas UNAM, extending a poor run of results. Over their last five games, Necaxa have managed just one win and four defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 1.8 per match.
Across the season, Necaxa’s record stands at seven wins, five draws, and fifteen losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Defensive frailties have been a major issue, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 18 Liga MX matches. Away from home, their problems are even more evident: they have allowed goals in their last 15 away fixtures, and over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 15 away games. Additionally, Necaxa have trailed at halftime in eight of their last twelve away matches.
Despite their struggles, Necaxa still possess attacking threats. Javier Ruiz has contributed two goals this season, while Julián Carranza leads the team with three goals. However, their defensive instability continues to undermine their efforts, especially on the road.
Historically, Necaxa have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five encounters against Puebla. The most recent meeting ended 1-0 in favor of Necaxa on September 20, 2025. However, current form suggests a more balanced contest this time. Puebla’s home advantage and slightly better momentum could make the difference, especially considering Necaxa’s defensive vulnerabilities away from home.
Both teams tend to produce open matches when facing each other. In two of the last three meetings at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc, the total goals exceeded 2.5, and given both sides’ defensive records, another high-scoring game could be on the cards. Puebla’s attacking players will look to exploit Necaxa’s tendency to concede in the second half, while the visitors will rely on quick transitions to surprise the hosts.
Neither team is in top form, but Puebla appear slightly better positioned to take advantage of their home ground and recent performances. Necaxa’s defensive issues and poor away record make them vulnerable, though their attacking duo of Ruiz and Carranza could still pose a threat. Considering the recent trends and both teams’ scoring patterns, this fixture promises entertainment and goals.
Puebla vs Necaxa prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with a 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Puebla
Necaxa
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
1
9
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
6
4
10
0