Tools
Puebla
2 - 3
FT
Pumas UNAM
Prediction published on Feb 12, 2026 5:01 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Feb 12, 2026 5:01 AM
The upcoming Liga MX fixture promises an intriguing battle as Puebla host Pumas UNAM in the sixth round of the Clausura 2026. The match will take place at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc on Friday evening, with both sides eager to secure a crucial victory. The home team are struggling to find consistency, while the visitors aim to maintain their unbeaten run in the league after a disappointing exit from continental competition. With both clubs under pressure to deliver, this encounter could be decisive for their early-season ambitions.
Puebla enter this match in need of improvement after a slow start to the campaign. They currently sit 13th in the Liga MX standings, having collected just one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches. Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw against Tijuana on February 7, underlining their offensive struggles. In fact, under 0.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last two league games, a clear sign of their difficulties in front of goal.
Across the season, Puebla’s record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. Despite these numbers, their defensive line has shown some resilience recently, conceding only 0.6 goals per game in their last five fixtures. Goalkeeper Ricardo Gutiérrez has been one of the standout performers, boasting an impressive 89% save rate and allowing just 0.6 goals per match. Playing at home could be an advantage, but Puebla must find a way to convert their chances if they want to climb the table.
Pumas UNAM arrive in Puebla after a 2-2 draw against Atlas on February 8, extending their unbeaten streak to five matches in Liga MX. Their recent form shows 2 wins and 3 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. This consistency has helped them reach fifth place in the standings with 9 points, and they remain one of the few teams yet to lose this season.
In terms of season-long performance, Pumas have recorded 7 wins, 9 draws and 7 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their attacking play has been lively, with Pedro Vite contributing both in goals and defensive work, averaging 3.4 ball recoveries per game. Meanwhile, Keylor Navas has been a key figure in goal, though his average of 1.4 goals conceded per match suggests room for improvement. Adalberto Carrasquilla also remains an important creative presence in midfield.
Historically, Pumas have dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last five meetings with Puebla, winning four and drawing one. The last head-to-head ended 0-0 on August 24, 2025, a result that reflected Puebla’s defensive approach but also their lack of attacking edge.
This clash brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Puebla are desperate to rediscover their scoring touch, while Pumas UNAM will look to capitalize on their momentum and superior form. The hosts have struggled to impose themselves offensively, averaging just 0.4 goals per game in their last five outings, but their defense has tightened up. On the other hand, Pumas have been involved in high-scoring matches, with over 1.5 total goals recorded in 20 of their last 21 away games in Liga MX. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored before half-time in 19 of those fixtures, suggesting that early action could be expected.
Despite Pumas’ attacking potential, Puebla’s home advantage and defensive discipline could make this a more balanced contest than the table suggests. The visitors’ recent elimination from the CONCACAF Champions Cup may also affect their morale, though it could equally motivate them to focus on domestic success. Given Puebla’s low-scoring trend and Pumas’ solid but not overwhelming attack, a tight and tactical match seems likely.
Considering the statistical trends and recent performances, this fixture could once again be defined by defensive organization rather than attacking fireworks. Puebla’s last two matches have produced fewer than 0.5 total goals, while Pumas have shown efficiency without being overly dominant. The historical record between these sides also points toward low-scoring outcomes, with the last meeting ending in a goalless draw.
Puebla vs Pumas UNAM prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Puebla
Pumas UNAM
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
9
1
7
3