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Prediction published on Apr 23, 2026 6:01 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Apr 23, 2026 6:01 AM
The final round of the Liga MX regular season brings a clash between Puebla and Querétaro, two sides that will play only for pride as neither can reach the playoffs. The match will take place at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc, closing a campaign in which both teams have struggled to find consistency. For the home side, it’s a chance to end a disappointing season on a positive note, while the visitors will aim to confirm their recent improvement and finish higher in the standings.
Puebla enter this final fixture sitting near the bottom of the table, ranked 16th in Liga MX. Their season record stands at 6 wins, 7 draws and 20 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per match. The team’s defensive fragility has been a recurring issue, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded across their last five games. During that stretch, they have recorded no wins, one draw and four losses, including a recent 2-1 defeat against Monterrey.
At home, Puebla have struggled to impose themselves, often finding it difficult to convert possession into goals. In fact, Under 0.5 goals have been scored in 2 of their last 10 home matches in Liga MX, showing that their games at the Cuauhtémoc tend to be tight and low-scoring. Despite these numbers, the team will look to end the season with a strong performance in front of their fans, relying on players like Emiliano Gómez, who has contributed goals and assists from midfield throughout the campaign.
Querétaro arrive in Puebla with a slightly better record, sitting 13th in the standings. Their season numbers show 9 wins, 10 draws and 14 defeats, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per game. The team has shown resilience in recent weeks, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw against Cruz Azul, a performance that confirmed their solid defensive structure and improved balance between attack and defense.
On the road, Querétaro have often struggled to start games well, having lost at half time in 12 of their last 20 away fixtures. However, their recent form suggests a more confident side, capable of competing against any opponent. The team’s matches have also tended to be low-scoring, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in 3 of their last 13 Liga MX games and in 2 of their last 10 away matches. Defensively, Lucas Abascia has been a key figure, providing leadership and consistency at the back.
Although neither team has much to play for in terms of league position, this match still carries emotional weight. Puebla will want to give their supporters a reason to cheer after a difficult season, while Querétaro will aim to maintain their unbeaten run and finish the campaign on a high. Historically, the head-to-head record favors Querétaro, who have won three of the last five meetings, including a 3-1 victory in October 2025. Puebla, on the other hand, have managed just one win in that span, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game and conceding 1.8.
Given the statistical trends, a balanced encounter is expected. Puebla’s defensive issues could open spaces for Querétaro’s attackers, but the visitors’ cautious approach away from home might limit the number of clear chances. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring matches, suggesting that the final scoreline could be narrow. However, with both sides eager to end the season positively, there is also potential for both to find the net at some stage of the game.
Based on the available data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction for this match points to Both Teams To Score – Yes with a probability of 46%. Puebla’s defensive vulnerabilities and Querétaro’s improved attacking rhythm make this outcome a realistic scenario, even in a match where neither side has playoff ambitions.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Puebla
Querétaro
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
7
3
7
3
4.5
9
1
10
0