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Pumas UNAM
2 - 2
FT
Cruz Azul
Prediction published on Mar 13, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Mar 13, 2026 5:03 PM
The action in the 11th round of the Clausura 2026 continues with one of the most anticipated fixtures of the weekend, as Pumas UNAM host Cruz Azul at Ciudad Universitaria. Two of Mexico’s most traditional clubs face off in a clash that could have major implications at the top of the Liga MX table. Both sides have shown consistency and attacking flair this season, making this encounter one of the standout matches of the round.
Pumas UNAM arrive in this match sitting fifth in the Liga MX standings. Their campaign has been built on balance and resilience, with five wins, four draws and just one defeat so far. The university side recently defeated Necaxa 0-1 on March 7, a result that extended their solid run of form. Over their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw and one loss, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Throughout the season, Pumas have maintained a steady scoring rhythm, finding the net in each of their last 14 league matches. Their overall record in Liga MX stands at 10 wins, 10 draws and 8 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. These numbers underline their attacking consistency, although defensive lapses have occasionally cost them points. Playing at home, they will look to use their energy and crowd support to challenge the league leaders.
Cruz Azul travel to Ciudad Universitaria as the current leaders of Liga MX. Their campaign has been exceptional, with eight wins, one draw and just one defeat in the Clausura 2026 so far. The team’s attacking power has been remarkable, producing 20 goals scored and conceding only nine. They come into this fixture after a convincing 3-0 victory over Atlético San Luis on March 7, a result that extended their winning streak to five consecutive matches.
In their last five outings, Cruz Azul have been flawless: five wins, no draws, no defeats, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their season-long record of 19 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses highlights their consistency and dominance. They have also shown a strong tendency to start matches well, having led at half time in each of their last four league games. Moreover, at least one goal has been scored in the second half in 20 of their last 22 Liga MX matches, reflecting their ability to maintain intensity throughout the 90 minutes.
When it comes to recent meetings, Cruz Azul have had the upper hand. In their last five encounters with Pumas UNAM, they have won three, drawn one and lost one, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding 1.4. The most recent clash ended 2-3 in favor of Cruz Azul on November 9, 2025, a result that showcased both teams’ attacking potential.
Both sides enter this match in excellent form, with only one defeat each in their last ten league games. Pumas will rely on their home advantage and offensive consistency, while Cruz Azul’s momentum and defensive solidity make them a formidable opponent. Given their current trajectories, fans can expect a dynamic and open contest with chances at both ends.
Statistically, both teams have scored in more than half of their recent matches, and their attacking numbers suggest another high-energy encounter. Pumas’ ability to find the net regularly, combined with Cruz Azul’s relentless forward play, points toward a match where both sides are likely to score.
Considering the data and recent performances, this fixture promises to be tightly contested but entertaining. Cruz Azul hold a slight edge with a 48% probability of winning, while Pumas UNAM have a 27% chance and the draw stands at 25%. The attacking form of both teams supports the expectation of goals on both sides, with Both Teams To Score – Yes rated at 52% probability. Additionally, the Over 2.5 goals market is nearly balanced at 51%, suggesting a lively match with multiple scoring opportunities.
Given their offensive trends and the head-to-head history, the most reasonable prediction leans toward an open game where both sides find the net.
Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
7
3
8
2