The Clausura 2026 tournament in Liga MX is approaching its decisive phase, and matchday 14 brings an intriguing clash between Pumas UNAM and Mazatlán FC. The encounter will take place at the home of the university side, who are looking to consolidate their position in the top half of the table, while the visitors continue to struggle near the bottom. Historically, the balance tilts clearly toward Pumas, who have dominated recent head-to-head meetings and remain unbeaten in their last five encounters against Mazatlán.

Pumas UNAM – Recent Form and Key Stats

Pumas UNAM come into this fixture sitting fifth in the Liga MX standings with 24 points. Their recent 2-2 draw away to Guadalajara on April 6 kept them within the playoff zone, and their consistency at home has been a major factor in their campaign. The team has collected points in six of their seven home matches, showing a strong balance between attack and defense.

Across their last five matches, Pumas have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 11 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses, maintaining a steady scoring rhythm. Notably, they have found the net in each of their last 17 Liga MX matches, underlining their attacking reliability.

In terms of individual performances, the squad has benefited from a balanced mix of experience and youth. The defense has been anchored by consistent performances, while the midfield has shown good control and creativity. Up front, the attacking line has been effective, with players like Robert Morales contributing significantly to the team’s goal tally. His four goals make him one of the key figures in the offensive setup.

• Ranking: 5th in Liga MX


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 2D – 1L


• Average goals: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded


• Home record: Points in 6 of 7 matches


• Scored in: last 17 consecutive Liga MX games

Mazatlán FC – Recent Form and Key Stats

Mazatlán FC continue to endure a difficult season, currently sitting 17th in the table with only 11 points. Their latest outing ended in a 2-1 defeat against Necaxa on April 4, extending a poor run of results that has left them fighting to avoid finishing bottom. The team’s defensive fragility has been a recurring issue, having conceded in 28 of their last 29 league matches.

In their last five games, Mazatlán have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored but conceding 2.2 per match. Away from home, their struggles are even more pronounced: they have failed to win in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures and have not led at halftime in any of their last 20 away games. These numbers highlight the challenge they face when playing on the road.

Despite their poor collective form, a few players have stood out. Josué Ovalle leads the team in scoring with four goals, while Yoél Bárcenas and Brian Rubio have shown flashes of quality in attack. In defense, Facundo Almada and José Joaquín Esquivel have tried to provide stability, but the team’s overall defensive record remains concerning.

• Ranking: 17th in Liga MX


• Last 5 matches: 1W – 1D – 3L


• Average goals: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded


• Conceded in: 14 consecutive away matches


• Away record: 1 win in last 20 away games

Match Analysis and Tactical Overview

This fixture presents a clear contrast between two sides heading in opposite directions. Pumas UNAM are pushing for a strong finish to secure their playoff position, while Mazatlán FC are struggling to find consistency and defensive solidity. The home side’s attacking momentum, combined with Mazatlán’s vulnerability away from home, suggests that the hosts will dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities.

Historically, Pumas have enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, winning four of their last five meetings and averaging two goals per game while conceding just 0.2. Given Mazatlán’s defensive issues and inability to hold leads, the visitors will likely adopt a cautious approach, aiming to limit damage rather than chase an open contest. However, Pumas’ offensive depth and home advantage could prove decisive once again.

Expect the home side to control the tempo, pressing high and exploiting spaces in Mazatlán’s back line. The visitors may rely on counterattacks through their quicker forwards, but their lack of defensive discipline could make it difficult to contain Pumas’ attacking pressure for the full 90 minutes.

Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlán FC Prediction

Based on the statistical trends and recent performances, Pumas UNAM enter this match as clear favorites. Their consistent scoring record, solid home form, and superior head-to-head record all point toward a comfortable victory. Meanwhile, Mazatlán FC’s defensive instability and poor away record make it difficult to foresee an upset.

The most likely scenario is a dominant home performance, with Pumas expected to score multiple goals and maintain control throughout the match. Given the data, a home win (1) appears to be the most probable outcome.

Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlán FC prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 56% probability.