Tools
Pumas UNAM
2 - 0
FT
Monterrey
Prediction published on Feb 21, 2026 6:01 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Feb 21, 2026 6:01 AM
The upcoming Liga MX clash between Pumas UNAM and Monterrey promises to be one of the most exciting fixtures of the weekend. The match will take place on Sunday at the Estadio Olímpico Universitario, where the home side will look to extend their unbeaten run in the Clausura 2026 campaign. Meanwhile, the visitors arrive with the ambition of improving their position in the standings and maintaining their solid recent form. Both teams are currently inside the top six, separated by only a few points, which adds even more intrigue to this encounter.
Pumas UNAM have been one of the most consistent teams in the early stages of the Clausura 2026. They come into this match after a thrilling 2-3 away victory against Puebla on February 14, a result that extended their unbeaten streak to five matches. Over their last five outings, the Universitarios have recorded three wins and two draws, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 1.0. This attacking efficiency has been key to their current third-place position in the Liga MX table.
Across the season, Pumas have accumulated a record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Their home performances have been particularly strong, and they will rely on that advantage to challenge a Monterrey side that has historically been a difficult opponent. In fact, Pumas have not beaten Monterrey in their last five head-to-head meetings, with four defeats and one draw, averaging only one goal scored per game while conceding 2.4.
Among the standout performers for the home side is Adalberto Carrasquilla, who has contributed two goals and averages 4.4 ball recoveries per match. His presence in midfield has been crucial for maintaining balance between defense and attack. Another key figure is Robert Morales, who has also scored twice and provided an assist, showing his importance in the final third. With such players in form, Pumas will aim to finally break their negative streak against the Regios.
Monterrey approach this fixture after a narrow but valuable 1-0 home win over León on February 15. That result helped them climb to sixth place in the standings with 14 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses across the season. The Rayados have been efficient in front of goal, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Over their last five games, they have achieved three victories, one draw, and one defeat, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per match — a sign of their growing defensive solidity.
Historically, Monterrey have enjoyed their visits to Ciudad Universitaria, remaining unbeaten in their last four away matches there, with three wins and one draw. This record gives them confidence heading into Sunday’s clash. One of their most influential players has been Sergio Canales, who has contributed two goals and one assist while maintaining an average of 3.0 ball recoveries per game. In defense, Víctor Guzmán has been a reliable presence, keeping two clean sheets and averaging 2.3 recoveries per match. These performances underline Monterrey’s balance between attack and defense, making them a dangerous opponent for any team in the league.
Another interesting trend is that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of 24 of Monterrey’s last 26 Liga MX matches, suggesting that the visitors often start games with intensity and attacking intent. This could lead to an open and entertaining contest against a Pumas side that also tends to find the net early.
When these two sides meet, goals are usually on the menu. Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on October 19, 2025, and both teams have shown strong attacking form in recent weeks. Pumas’ home advantage and unbeaten run make them a tough opponent, but Monterrey’s impressive away record and historical dominance in this fixture cannot be ignored. The balance between both squads suggests a close and competitive match, with both teams likely to create scoring opportunities.
Given the offensive quality on display and the recent statistics, it would not be surprising to see both sides find the back of the net. Pumas have averaged more than two goals per game in their last five matches, while Monterrey have scored in each of their last five outings. Defensively, both teams have shown some vulnerability, which further supports the expectation of goals at both ends.
According to BetMines data, the probabilities for the 1X2 market are as follows: Pumas UNAM win (1) at 48%, Draw (X) at 25%, and Monterrey win (2) at 28%. For the goals market, Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score – Yes each hold a 56% probability, reinforcing the idea of an open and attacking match.
Pumas UNAM vs Monterrey prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pumas UNAM
Monterrey
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
7
3
9
1