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Pumas UNAM
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Querétaro
Prediction published on Jan 9, 2026 9:02 PM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Jan 9, 2026 9:02 PM
The new Clausura 2026 season of Liga MX kicks off with an exciting clash between Pumas UNAM and Querétaro. The match will take place this Sunday at the Estadio Olímpico Universitario, where the home side will look to start their campaign with a statement victory. Historically, this fixture has favored the hosts, and the atmosphere in Mexico City promises to be electric as both teams aim to set the tone for the season ahead.
Pumas UNAM enter this opening round with mixed results from their recent outings. They lost 3-1 to Pachuca in their last official match on November 21, 2025, but overall, their last five games show a balanced record of two wins, one draw, and two defeats. The team has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match during that stretch, reflecting both attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities.
Across the previous Liga MX season, Pumas recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. One notable trend is their tendency to start cautiously: they have drawn at half time in 7 of their last 8 home matches. Despite this, their home ground has often been a source of strength, with three wins in the last four meetings against Querétaro at the Olímpico Universitario.
Among the standout performers, Keylor Navas has been a crucial figure in goal, averaging 1.4 goals conceded per match and maintaining a 68% save rate last season. In attack, Jorge Ruvalcaba remains one to watch after contributing five goals and three assists in the previous campaign. With these key players, Pumas aim to build momentum early and capitalize on their home advantage.
Querétaro arrive at this fixture in good spirits after a 1-2 away win against Juárez on November 8, 2025. Their recent form shows three victories and two defeats in their last five matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Over the course of the last Liga MX season, they registered 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded.
Querétaro’s matches tend to be lively early on, as over 0.5 goals have been scored at half time in 24 of their last 26 Liga MX games. This pattern continues away from home, where 18 of their last 20 away matches have seen at least one goal before the break. However, their defensive record remains a concern, having lost at half time in 10 of their last 14 away fixtures.
In goal, Guillermo Allison has been a reliable presence, boasting a 72% save rate and a perfect record in aerial duels during the Apertura 2025. Despite his efforts, Querétaro’s away form has been inconsistent, and facing Pumas in their own stadium will be a significant challenge. The Gallos Blancos will need to tighten their defense and find efficiency in attack to stand a chance of upsetting the odds.
When these two sides meet, the balance of power has historically leaned toward Pumas UNAM. In their last five head-to-head encounters, Pumas have won three, drawn one, and lost one, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.8. The most recent meeting ended in a 0-2 victory for Pumas on July 26, 2025, reinforcing their dominance in this fixture.
Querétaro’s attacking approach often leads to open matches, but their defensive lapses away from home could be costly. Meanwhile, Pumas’ ability to control possession and create chances at home makes them strong favorites. The hosts’ combination of experience and home-field advantage could prove decisive in this opening round.
Statistically, Pumas hold a 58% probability of winning, compared to 23% for a draw and 20% for a Querétaro victory. The data also suggests a high likelihood of goals, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 55% of similar matchups and Both Teams To Score marked at 52% probability. Given these trends, fans can expect an entertaining contest with attacking intent from both sides.
Pumas UNAM vs Querétaro prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pumas UNAM
Querétaro
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
7
3
10
0