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Pumas UNAM
4 - 0
FT
Santos Laguna
Prediction published on Jan 29, 2026 4:02 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Jan 29, 2026 4:02 AM
The fourth round of the Clausura 2026 continues with an intriguing clash between Pumas UNAM and Santos Laguna. The match will take place at Ciudad Universitaria, where the home side will be eager to secure their first home victory of the campaign. For the visitors, the trip represents another test in what has been a difficult period away from home, as they look to reverse a worrying trend of poor results on the road.
Pumas UNAM currently sit sixth in the Liga MX standings, having collected five points from their opening three matches. Their record of one win and two draws keeps them unbeaten so far, placing them among the early contenders in the upper half of the table. The team’s most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against León on January 18, a result that extended their home drought to more than 89 days without a victory at Ciudad Universitaria.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Pumas have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their overall record stands at six wins, eight draws, and seven losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. These numbers underline a balanced but somewhat inconsistent side that often struggles to turn dominance into victories, particularly at home.
Among the standout performers is the Brazilian forward Juninho, who has already found the net once in three appearances. The 29-year-old newcomer brings valuable international experience, having previously lifted domestic titles in Brazil and even a Copa Libertadores trophy. His presence could be crucial in helping Pumas rediscover their attacking rhythm in front of their fans.
Santos Laguna have endured a difficult start to the Clausura 2026, currently sitting 17th in the table. Their campaign began with back-to-back 3-1 defeats against Necaxa and Toluca, before managing a 2-2 draw with Juárez in the third round. That result offered a glimpse of improvement, but the team remains far from its best form.
In their last five matches, Santos have managed just one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding 2.4 per game. Their defensive fragility has been a major concern, particularly away from home, where they have not won any of their last 20 Liga MX matches. Moreover, they have conceded at least one goal in each of those 20 away fixtures, often finding themselves trailing at half time — a pattern seen in eight of their last eleven away games.
Despite these struggles, there have been some individual bright spots. Argentine midfielder Ezequiel Bullaude has been one of the few consistent performers, contributing one goal and one assist in his two starts so far. His creativity and energy in midfield will be vital if Santos are to challenge a Pumas side that tends to control possession at home.
This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting dynamics. Pumas UNAM have shown resilience and balance but need to rediscover their winning touch at home, while Santos Laguna are desperate to end a long run of poor away results. The hosts’ defensive organization and attacking potential, led by Juninho, could prove decisive against a Santos defense that has struggled to contain opponents.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these sides is evenly matched, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. However, Pumas dominated the most recent encounter, winning 3-0 in July 2025. Given the current form and statistical trends, another home success seems the most plausible outcome.
For Santos, the key will be to stay compact and avoid early mistakes, as they have often fallen behind before halftime. Their tendency to concede in the second half — with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 27 of their last 29 matches — suggests that this game could open up as it progresses, especially if Pumas push for a late winner.
Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Pumas UNAM
Santos Laguna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
5
5
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1