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Prediction published on Jun 5, 2026 8:02 AM by Dario in World - Friendly International | Modified on Jun 5, 2026 8:02 AM
The upcoming friendly between Qatar and El Salvador will serve as the final test for the Asian side before the 2026 World Cup. Set to take place at the BMO Stadium, this encounter marks the third meeting between the two nations, with Qatar holding a perfect record so far. Having triumphed 1-0 in a friendly and 3-2 in the Gold Cup back in 2021, the hosts will look to extend their dominance and gain a morale boost ahead of the global tournament. For El Salvador, this match represents an opportunity to measure themselves against a World Cup-bound opponent and to bounce back from recent inconsistencies.
Qatar approach this friendly with the aim of rediscovering their rhythm after a difficult run of results. In their last five matches, they have recorded no wins, one draw, and four defeats, averaging just 0.2 goals scored per game while conceding 1.4. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 loss to the Republic of Ireland on May 28, 2026, continuing a worrying trend in front of goal. In the current Friendly International season, Qatar’s record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with no goals scored and one conceded.
Despite these struggles, Qatar’s historical record against El Salvador offers encouragement. They have won both previous meetings, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game and conceding 1.0. Ranked higher in the Friendly International standings (1st compared to El Salvador’s 2nd), the hosts will hope that their superior head-to-head record and home advantage can help them end their preparations on a positive note.
El Salvador come into this fixture after a 1-0 defeat to Korea Republic on June 4, 2026. That result halted a brief unbeaten run that had seen them collect one win and one draw in their previous two games. Over their last five matches, they have achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. In the current Friendly International campaign, their record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
El Salvador’s main concern remains their inconsistency in attack, having failed to score in three of their last five outings. Away from home, their record is also worrying, with five defeats in their last eight away matches, all without finding the net. To challenge Qatar effectively, they will need to improve their finishing and defensive organization, particularly against a side that has historically had the upper hand in this matchup.
This friendly is expected to be a balanced contest between two teams seeking confidence before their next competitive commitments. Qatar will likely focus on tightening their defense and regaining attacking sharpness after a series of low-scoring performances. Their ability to control possession and create chances could be decisive, especially given their past success against El Salvador.
El Salvador, on the other hand, will aim to frustrate their opponents and exploit any defensive lapses. Their recent scoring issues suggest a cautious approach, prioritizing compactness and counterattacks. However, their struggles away from home and lack of goals in key moments could limit their chances of securing a positive result.
Historically, matches between these two sides have produced goals, with their last encounter ending 3-2 in favor of Qatar. Given both teams’ current form, a low-scoring affair cannot be ruled out, but Qatar’s superior record and ranking make them the more likely winners.
Based on the available data and recent performances, the BetMines prediction leans towards a Qatar win (1) with a 44% probability. The draw (X) stands at 26%, while an El Salvador win (2) is estimated at 29%. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, but Qatar’s head-to-head advantage and home momentum give them the edge in this friendly clash.
Qatar vs El Salvador prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 44% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Qatar
El Salvador
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
5
5
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0