Tools
Prediction published on Feb 21, 2026 8:01 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Feb 21, 2026 8:01 AM
The seventh round of the Liga MX season brings an intriguing clash between Querétaro and Juárez, two sides eager to climb the table after a difficult start to the campaign. The match is scheduled for Sunday evening at the Estadio de la Corregidora, where both teams will be desperate to turn their fortunes around. With only a few points separating them, this encounter could prove decisive in shaping their mid-season momentum.
Querétaro enter this fixture sitting in 14th place in the Liga MX standings, having collected five points so far. Their recent 3-0 defeat against Atlético San Luis on February 14 highlighted the inconsistency that has plagued their season. Over their last five matches, the Gallos Blancos have managed just one win, one draw, and three losses, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Across the entire campaign, their record stands at seven wins, four draws, and twelve defeats, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Despite their struggles, Querétaro have historically performed well against Juárez. In their last five head-to-head meetings, they have recorded four victories and just one defeat, scoring an average of 1.8 goals while conceding only 0.6. Their most recent encounter ended in a 1-2 away win on November 8, 2025. Playing at home could once again be a crucial advantage, as the Corregidora crowd often provides the energy needed to push the team forward.
Among the standout performers for Querétaro is Santiago Homenchenko, whose defensive contributions have been vital. Averaging 6.4 ball recoveries and 1.6 interceptions per match, his presence in midfield could be key to neutralizing Juárez’s attacking threats. In goal, Guillermo Allison has maintained a 71% save rate, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game — numbers that underline his importance to the team’s defensive structure.
Juárez arrive at this match in 15th place, just one point behind their hosts, after a 1-2 home defeat to Necaxa on February 15. Their recent form has been worrying, with no wins in their last five matches — one draw and four losses — during which they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Over the course of the season, their record reads eight wins, seven draws, and twelve defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Despite their poor run, Juárez have shown flashes of attacking potential. Óscar Estupiñán has been a bright spot in the final third, contributing two goals and one assist, while Denzell García has impressed defensively with six ball recoveries per match, alongside one goal and one assist. These individual performances suggest that the Bravos have the tools to challenge, but consistency remains their biggest obstacle.
Historically, Juárez have found it difficult to get results in Querétaro, managing just one win in their last five visits. Their defensive vulnerabilities away from home have been a recurring issue, and unless they tighten up at the back, they could once again find themselves exposed against a side that tends to perform better on home soil.
Both teams enter this fixture under pressure to deliver. Querétaro’s home advantage and superior head-to-head record make them slight favorites, but Juárez’s attacking players are capable of causing problems if given space. The statistics suggest a balanced contest, with Querétaro holding a 33% chance of victory, Juárez at 39%, and the draw at 28%. Given both sides’ defensive fragility and their tendency to concede, goals are expected to feature prominently.
In recent meetings, matches between these two have often been open and entertaining, with several ending in high-scoring affairs. Considering the current form and the attacking profiles on both sides, the likelihood of multiple goals seems strong. The data also supports this view, with Over 2.5 goals having a 52% probability compared to 48% for the Under.
Querétaro will look to capitalize on their home advantage and past dominance over Juárez, while the visitors will aim to break their losing streak and climb out of the lower ranks of the table. Both teams have enough attacking talent to find the net, but defensive lapses could ultimately decide the outcome.
Querétaro vs Juárez prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Querétaro
Juárez
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2