The fourth round of the Liga MX Clausura 2026 brings an intriguing clash between Querétaro and Pachuca, two sides with contrasting starts to the season. The match will take place at the Estadio de la Corregidora, where both teams will be eager to secure valuable points to climb the table. While the visitors appear slightly stronger on paper, the hosts will look to use home advantage to turn their fortunes around.

Querétaro’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Querétaro have endured a difficult start to the Clausura 2026 campaign. After three rounds, they sit in 16th place with just one point, the result of one draw and two defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 loss against Guadalajara on January 17, a result that extended their winless run in the league. Despite their struggles, the Gallos Blancos have shown flashes of competitiveness, as reflected in their last five matches across all competitions, where they recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Looking at their broader season statistics, Querétaro have registered 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. One worrying trend is their tendency to fall behind early: they have lost at half time in 14 of their last 23 Liga MX fixtures, including 6 of their last 10 at home. This pattern highlights their difficulty in starting games strongly, something they must address if they hope to challenge Pachuca.

Individually, Mateo Coronel has been one of the few bright spots for Querétaro, contributing two goals and averaging 1.7 ball recoveries per match. In defense, Diego Reyes has stood out with 2.3 recoveries per game, providing some stability at the back. However, the team’s overall defensive record remains a concern, especially against opponents with attacking depth like Pachuca.

Pachuca’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Pachuca arrive at this fixture in better shape, currently sitting 12th in the Liga MX standings. Their last match ended in a goalless draw against América on January 19, a result that extended their unbeaten streak at the Estadio de la Corregidora to four consecutive visits. Over their last five matches, the Tuzos have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game — a balanced record that reflects both their attacking potential and defensive discipline.

Across the season, Pachuca’s numbers are slightly more consistent than their rivals’: 8 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their defensive solidity has been one of their main strengths, thanks in part to goalkeeper Carlos Moreno, who has conceded just 1.0 goals per game and boasts a 70% save rate. Sergio Barreto has also been key in maintaining clean sheets, while Oussama Idrissi has contributed both offensively and defensively, scoring once and averaging 3.3 ball recoveries per match.

Historically, Pachuca have enjoyed success in this fixture. They have not lost at Querétaro’s ground in their last four visits, and their most recent head-to-head encounter ended in a 2-0 victory for the Tuzos on September 20, 2025. Overall, in the last five meetings between the sides, Querétaro have won twice, drawn twice, and lost once, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. However, current form and momentum suggest that Pachuca hold the upper hand going into this clash.

Querétaro vs Pachuca Analysis and Prediction

This encounter promises to be a competitive one, with both teams motivated to improve their league positions. Querétaro will rely on their home crowd to inspire a turnaround, but their recent record at the Corregidora — including a home defeat in their last outing — raises doubts about their ability to impose themselves. Pachuca, on the other hand, have shown resilience and tactical balance, traits that could prove decisive in a tight contest.

Given the statistical trends, both teams have averaged similar goal-scoring and defensive numbers, suggesting a balanced match. However, Pachuca’s superior consistency and their unbeaten run in Querétaro give them a psychological edge. The visitors’ organized defense and efficient counterattacks could be the key factors that tilt the game in their favor.

In terms of goal expectations, recent data points to a moderate scoring affair. Both teams have averaged around 1.2 goals per game, and with 55% probability for Over 2.5 goals and 55% for Both Teams To Score – Yes, fans could be treated to an open and entertaining match.

Querétaro vs Pachuca prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Pachuca win (2) with a 45% probability.