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Prediction published on Jan 13, 2026 5:03 AM by Dario in Mexico - Liga MX | Modified on Jan 13, 2026 5:03 AM
The second round of the Liga MX Clausura 2026 brings an intriguing clash between Querétaro and Tijuana, two sides that opened their campaigns with draws and now aim to secure their first victory of the season. The match will take place at the Estadio Corregidora, where the home team hopes to extend its positive streak in front of its supporters. Both clubs showed solid defensive organization in their opening fixtures, suggesting another tight contest could be on the cards.
Querétaro began the tournament with a 1-1 draw away to Pumas UNAM on January 11, a result that reflected their balanced approach and resilience. According to recent data, the Gallos Blancos have enjoyed a strong run at home, winning their last three matches in this condition. Over their last five games in all competitions, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match.
In the current Liga MX season, Querétaro’s record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Their matches at the Corregidora tend to be lively early on, as Over 0.5 goals have been scored in 18 of their last 20 home matches at half time. However, they have also shown vulnerability before the break, losing at half time in 6 of their last 10 home fixtures.
One of the standout performers for Querétaro has been Mateo Coronel, who found the net against Pumas in the opening round. Defensive stability has been provided by Diego Reyes, averaging 2.0 interceptions and 3.0 tackles per match, while Esteban González continues to contribute effectively in the back line. These elements could be crucial as the Gallos aim to maintain their home dominance and climb higher from their current 9th place in the standings.
Tijuana also started their Clausura 2026 campaign with a draw, holding América to a goalless result on January 10. The Xolos displayed defensive discipline and tactical awareness, particularly through the efforts of Iván Tona, who was instrumental in keeping a clean sheet. Despite their solid start, Tijuana’s away form remains a concern, as they have lost their last six away matches, including a heavy 5-0 defeat to Tigres in their most recent road outing.
Statistically, Tijuana’s season record shows 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. In their last five games, they have achieved three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their defensive line has been reinforced by Jackson Porozo, who boasts a 97% pass accuracy in his own half and 75% in the opponent’s territory, while Unai Bilbao impressed in the previous round with 4.0 interceptions and 2.0 tackles.
Historically, Tijuana have had the upper hand in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in the last four meetings against Querétaro with three wins and one draw. Their last visit to the Corregidora ended in a 2-1 victory, a result they will look to replicate as they currently sit 10th in the Liga MX table.
Matches between Querétaro and Tijuana have often been closely contested, with few goals separating the sides. In their last five head-to-head encounters, Querétaro have managed one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 1.2. The most recent meeting, played on July 12, 2025, ended 1-0 in favor of Tijuana, reinforcing the trend of low-scoring outcomes.
Given both teams’ recent performances, a cautious approach is expected. Querétaro’s home advantage and attacking consistency could be offset by Tijuana’s defensive organization and counterattacking potential. The Gallos Blancos will rely on their strong home record, while the Xolos will aim to exploit any defensive lapses. However, considering the statistical patterns and the teams’ current form, a match with limited scoring opportunities seems likely.
According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Querétaro 46%, Draw 24%, and Tijuana 30%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option has a 59% probability, while the Over 2.5 goals market is rated at 57%. Despite these figures, the historical trend between these sides suggests a more conservative outcome.
Querétaro vs Tijuana prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Querétaro
Tijuana
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0