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Racing Club
2 - 0
FT
Independiente Petrolero
Prediction published on May 26, 2026 4:02 PM by Dario in South America - Copa Sudamericana | Modified on May 26, 2026 4:02 PM
The final matchday of Group E in the Copa Sudamericana brings together Racing Club and Independiente Petrolero in Avellaneda. Both sides arrive already eliminated from the competition, with no mathematical chance of advancing to the next round. The main objective for each will therefore be to close their continental campaign with a respectable performance and a positive result to restore some pride.
Racing Club have endured a disappointing group stage, managing only one victory in five matches. Their two draws against Caracas proved costly, effectively ending any hopes of qualification. The team’s overall form has also been inconsistent, both in the domestic league and in continental competition. Particularly worrying has been their home record, as they have gone five consecutive matches in Avellaneda without a win. Despite these struggles, Racing remain the stronger side on paper and will look to take advantage of their superior squad depth and quality.
In their most recent outing, Racing drew 2-2 against Caracas on May 22, showing some attacking improvement but also defensive fragility. Over the last five matches, they have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. In the Copa Sudamericana, their season stats stand at 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.
These figures suggest that Racing’s matches tend to be open and entertaining, especially at home, where goals are a frequent occurrence. The team will aim to end their continental campaign with a convincing performance in front of their supporters.
For Independiente Petrolero, the group stage has been even more difficult. The Bolivian side have lost all five of their matches so far, underlining the gap between them and the rest of the group. Their most recent result was a 0-3 defeat against Botafogo on May 21, a match that once again exposed their defensive weaknesses. Away from home, they have struggled significantly, both in terms of organization and attacking output.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Independiente Petrolero have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. In the Copa Sudamericana, their record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with an average of 0.5 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match. The team have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 19 away fixtures, showing a consistent vulnerability at the back.
These numbers confirm that Independiente Petrolero’s matches are rarely low-scoring, but their defensive record leaves them exposed, especially against technically superior opponents. Their main challenge in Avellaneda will be to maintain defensive discipline and avoid another heavy defeat.
Given the context, this match is expected to be dominated by Racing Club, who will likely control possession and create the majority of chances. The Argentine side will want to give their fans something to cheer about after a disappointing campaign. Meanwhile, Independiente Petrolero will probably adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive organization and looking to avoid another lopsided scoreline.
The previous head-to-head between these teams ended 3-1 in favor of Racing, and the overall record also favors the Argentine club, with one win, no draws, and no defeats. Considering the attacking tendencies of both sides and the defensive issues of the visitors, goals are expected once again. However, Racing’s superior quality and home advantage make them clear favorites to take all three points.
Statistically, Racing have a 72% probability of winning, while the draw stands at 18% and an away win at 10%. The Over 2.5 goals market shows a 57% probability, suggesting a match with multiple scoring opportunities. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) is rated at 45% for Yes and 55% for No, indicating that Racing might dominate without necessarily conceding.
Racing Club vs Independiente Petrolero prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 72% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Racing Club
Independiente Petrolero
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
7
3
2
8
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1