Tools
Prediction published on May 29, 2025 7:33 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on May 29, 2025 9:13 AM
On Saturday, May 31st, at the Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Racing Ferrol and Sporting Gijón face off in the 42nd and final round of the LaLiga 2 season. On paper, the game holds little weight in terms of standings, but it offers both teams a chance to end a disappointing campaign with some dignity. For Racing Ferrol, already relegated to the Primera Federación, this will mostly be a farewell to their home crowd after a season to forget. Following a dismal run between February and April where they went eleven matches without a win, Alejandro Menéndez's side saw any hopes of survival fade away. They’re coming off a 2-0 defeat to Albacete and will try to end the season with a win to soften the blow of returning to Spain's third tier. Sporting Gijón also comes into this fixture with disappointment hanging over their season. After nearly earning promotion in the 2023/24 campaign (eliminated in the playoff semifinals), the Asturian club has had a lackluster year, sitting on 53 points in 14th place. Even with a win and favorable results elsewhere, they cannot climb higher than 11th — far below their summer expectations. Two underperforming teams will face off, aiming to give their fans one last bit of joy before closing a season they’d rather forget.
Racing Ferrol’s most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat away to Albacete, breaking a brief positive streak that included a goalless draw against Tenerife and a narrow 1-0 win over Cádiz, thanks to a late penalty converted by Borrego.
The "Diablos Verdes" have managed only 30 points in 41 matches, with a record of 6 wins, 12 draws, and a staggering 23 defeats. The numbers reflect a double crisis: they hold the worst attack in the league with just 22 goals scored (an average of 0.54 per game) and the second-worst defense, having conceded 62 goals (1.51 per match), with only Cartagena performing worse.
At home, Racing Ferrol have played 20 matches and won just 3, drawing 7 and losing 10. Two of those wins came in April (both 1-0 against Eldense and Cádiz), but prior to that, they went 13 home games without a win, tallying 8 losses and 5 draws.
Sporting Gijón’s season has been marked by inconsistency, especially in its final stages. They’ve shown some offensive continuity, though, scoring in each of their last five games with a record of two wins and three losses, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per match.
Their last victory came in a 3-2 thriller against bottom-side Cartagena. Before that, they lost 2-1 away to Málaga, continuing their struggles on the road.
In the standings, Sporting sit at 53 points with 13 wins, 14 draws, and 14 defeats. Their goal difference is nearly balanced, averaging 1.34 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their biggest flaw this season has been their away form: they’re currently on a three-game losing streak away from home and have only one win in their last 14 away games, with a worrying tally of 7 defeats and 6 draws.
The Racing Ferrol vs Sporting Gijón prediction for Matchday 42 of LaLiga 2 points to a low-stakes, low-scoring affair. According to the BetMines algorithm, Under 2.5 goals is the most likely outcome, driven by the lack of motivation on both sides.
Already relegated, Racing Ferrol come into the game with no objectives but have shown some defensive stability at home recently. In their last seven home matches, six ended with fewer than three total goals. Alejandro Menéndez’s team is organized defensively but struggles to score — they haven’t scored more than once in any home game since August.
Sporting Gijón, meanwhile, have a poor record on the road and, with nothing at stake, might lack the intensity needed to chase a result.
Head-to-head trends support this outlook: four of the last five meetings between these teams at Estadio Municipal de A Malata ended with Under 2.5 goals, reinforcing the trend of tight, low-tempo contests.
RACING FERROL (4-2-3-1): Ruiz Suarez; Correa, Manzanara, Gomes, Martinez; Gelardo, Señe; Pena, Sanz, Dorrio; Giménez. Coach: Alejandro Menéndez
SPORTING GIJÓN (4-2-3-1): Yáñez; Rosas, Sánchez, Pier, Angel; Martin, Méndez; Queipo, Gelabert, Gaspar; Ferney Otero. Coach: Asier Garitano
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Racing Ferrol
Sporting Gijón
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
3
7
0
10
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
7
3
3
7
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1