Tools
Prediction published on Sep 24, 2025 3:03 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Sep 24, 2025 5:13 AM
The Europa League group stage begins with an intriguing clash at Ibrox as Rangers welcome Belgian side Genk on Thursday, September 25, 2025. Both teams arrive at this fixture under pressure, having endured difficult starts to their respective campaigns. For Rangers, the disappointment of dropping out of the Champions League qualifiers still lingers, while Genk are struggling to find consistency in the Belgian First Division A. This preview takes a closer look at both sides’ form, key statistics, and what to expect from this highly anticipated encounter in Glasgow.
For Rangers, the Europa League represents both a chance for redemption and a platform to stabilize after a turbulent start to the season. Their Champions League dream ended in humiliating fashion with a 9-1 aggregate defeat to Club Brugge, a result that left fans questioning the direction under manager Russell Martin. The pressure on the coach has been mounting, but a recent 2-0 win over Hibernian in the League Cup offered some relief, ending a five-match winless streak. That victory could provide a much-needed confidence boost heading into this European tie.
Statistically, Rangers’ form has been far from convincing. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have managed just 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.8. Their defensive frailties have been particularly concerning, with the team leaking goals at an alarming rate. However, one consistent trend has been the presence of goals in their matches: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 19 of their last 20 games, and in the Europa League specifically, Over 0.5 goals in the second half has landed in 18 of their last 20 fixtures.
At Ibrox, Rangers have not been as dominant as they would like in Europe. In their last six Europa League home matches, they have won only two, with two draws and two defeats. Their last encounter with Belgian opposition at home was a nightmare, conceding heavily against Club Brugge. Still, the presence of influential players such as James Tavernier, who continues to be a key attacking outlet from the right flank, and the recent contributions of Nicolas Raskin and Djeidi Gassama, could give them an edge in this fixture.
Genk arrive in Glasgow with their own set of problems. Their domestic campaign has been underwhelming, with just 2 wins in their opening 8 matches, leaving them in the lower half of the Belgian First Division A. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 defeat to Union Saint-Gilloise, extending a run of three games without a win. Over their last five fixtures, Genk have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Despite their struggles, Genk have shown resilience in European competition. A notable statistic is that in four of their five Europa League campaigns, they have won their opening group stage match. This historical trend could provide them with confidence heading into Ibrox. Another consistent feature of their games has been goals: Over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 23 matches, and they have conceded at least once in their last 19 outings. Away from home, they have also been reliable in producing goals, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half occurring in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures.
Individually, Genk will look to their attacking talents to make the difference. Junya Ito, signed from Reims, has already found the net twice this season, while Moroccan right-back Zakaria El Ouahdi has been a revelation, contributing four goals and one assist from defense. His forward runs and attacking influence could be a major weapon against a Rangers defense that has looked vulnerable. However, Genk’s inconsistency and inability to keep clean sheets remain their biggest weaknesses.
This will be the first-ever meeting between Rangers and Genk, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the contest. Both sides are struggling domestically, but their European pedigree and attacking tendencies suggest this could be an open and entertaining affair. Rangers will rely heavily on their right flank, with Tavernier and Gassama expected to combine in attack, while Genk will look to exploit the same side through El Ouahdi’s surging runs. The midfield battle, particularly with Raskin eager to impress against his compatriots, could be decisive.
Given the statistical trends, goals are highly likely in this encounter. Rangers’ recent matches have been goal-heavy, while Genk’s defensive record suggests they will concede but also find the net. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities at the back, and with attacking threats on either side, a high-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. Rangers’ home advantage may give them a slight edge, but Genk’s history of strong starts in the Europa League group stage makes this a finely balanced contest.
Rangers vs Genk prediction by BetMines:
The statistical analysis highlights the best value in the Both Teams To Score (Yes) market, which carries a 58% probability. With both sides struggling defensively but possessing attacking quality, goals at both ends appear the most likely outcome at Ibrox.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rangers
Genk
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
3
7
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
2
8
7
3
3.5
4
6
10
0
4.5
6
4
10
0