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Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 5:05 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie C: Girone B | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 5:05 PM
The upcoming Serie C: Girone B clash between Ravenna and Forlì promises to be a tense and decisive encounter for both sides. Scheduled for Saturday, January 10, at 17:30, this derby at the Benelli Stadium arrives at a crucial moment in the season. The hosts are under pressure to bounce back after two consecutive defeats, while the visitors aim to upset one of the division’s top teams. With Ravenna sitting second in the standings and Forlì in twelfth, the stakes are high for both clubs, especially as the race for promotion intensifies.
Ravenna enter this match looking to recover from a difficult spell that has seen them lose two games in a row, including a 2-1 defeat to Campobasso on January 4. Despite this dip, their overall campaign remains strong, with 13 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses in Serie C: Girone B. The team averages 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, reflecting a generally balanced performance across the season.
In their last five outings, Ravenna have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.0. Their matches have tended to be tight affairs, with under 3.5 goals scored in each of their last 11 league fixtures. This consistency in low-scoring games suggests a disciplined defensive approach, though recent results indicate that the team may be struggling to convert chances into victories.
Playing at home could be the key to turning things around. The Benelli crowd will expect a strong reaction, especially given that a victory could help Ravenna keep pace with leaders Arezzo. The psychological aspect is crucial here: after two setbacks, the team must show resilience to avoid slipping into a deeper crisis. A win would not only restore confidence but also reaffirm their promotion ambitions.
Forlì approach this derby with mixed emotions. Their recent 1-2 defeat against Arezzo on January 3 highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities. Over the course of the season, they have collected 7 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. In their last five games, Forlì have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded — numbers that underline their inconsistency.
One notable trend is that over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in each of their last 15 league matches, suggesting that their games often open up after the break. However, their away form remains a concern: they have lost at half time in their last three away fixtures, and their defensive record on the road has been poor. This could prove costly against a motivated Ravenna side eager to reassert dominance at home.
Historically, Forlì have the upper hand in this matchup, having won the last head-to-head 1-0 on September 1, 2025. Yet, given their current defensive fragility and Ravenna’s need for redemption, repeating that success will be a tall order. The visitors will need to stay compact and disciplined if they are to avoid another away defeat.
This derby is more than just a local rivalry — it’s a pivotal moment in the season for Ravenna. The hosts must overcome the psychological weight of recent losses and prove that they remain genuine contenders for promotion. Their solid defensive record and home advantage make them favorites, but the pressure to win could also play a role in shaping the match’s rhythm.
Forlì, on the other hand, will look to exploit any signs of nervousness from their opponents. Their attacking numbers show they can find the net, but their defensive lapses — particularly away from home — have often undone their efforts. If they concede early, it could be difficult to recover against a side that tends to manage leads effectively.
Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring contest seems likely. Ravenna’s recent matches have consistently stayed under 3.5 goals, while Forlì’s defensive issues suggest that the home side will have opportunities to score. The balance of probabilities, however, leans toward a home victory, as Ravenna’s overall quality and motivation should outweigh Forlì’s sporadic form.
Ravenna vs Forlì prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 43% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ravenna
Forlì
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
8
2
5
5
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1