Matchday 34 of La Liga kicks off at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas with the Madrid Derby between Rayo Vallecano and Getafe, both hunting for crucial points to secure a potential European spot. Separated by just two points in the table, both teams come into this fixture following disappointing results but still have a realistic chance to chase eighth place—which, due to UEFA's coefficient system, could be enough for a place in the next UEFA Europa Conference League. The hosts know that a win in this La Liga Matchday 34 opener would move them within touching distance of seventh place, keeping alive the dream of European football for the first time since their 2000/01 UEFA Cup appearance. However, Inigo Perez’s side must snap a home winless streak that has lasted over two months—and they’ll have to do it without key players Batalla and Ratiu, both suspended. It’s a difficult moment for Getafe as well. After three consecutive defeats, a win in this derby could reignite their European hopes, potentially moving them within just two points of Osasuna in eighth place. One of Getafe’s biggest concerns lately has been their toothless attack, which has failed to score in their last two games against Espanyol and Real Madrid. Given the stakes and the fact it’s a derby, we can expect a hard-fought, gritty encounter, with both teams leaving everything on the pitch to keep their European dreams alive.

Rayo Vallecano Recent Form and Key Stats

Rayo Vallecano are winless in their last four matches, with one draw and three losses, the most recent being a 3-0 defeat against Atlético Madrid on April 24. Over those four La Liga fixtures, they've scored just twice while conceding 11.

They currently sit on 41 points with a record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, averaging 1.06 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per match. At home, their last win dates back to February 7 (1-0 vs. Real Valladolid). Since then, they've drawn against Real Sociedad, Sevilla, and Valencia, and lost to Villarreal and Espanyol.

Getafe Recent Form and Key Stats

Getafe's form has nosedived with three consecutive losses in La Liga—against Las Palmas, Espanyol, and Real Madrid. In their most recent outing against Los Blancos, they lost narrowly (0-1) to a brilliant first-half goal from Arda Güler. The "Azulones" have failed to score in their last two matches.

These recent setbacks have left Getafe stuck at 39 points after 33 games (10 wins, 9 draws, 14 losses). In 2025, their away record in the league includes 2 defeats (vs. Leganés and Espanyol) and 6 wins. On the road, they average 1.06 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per match.

Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe Prediction and Tactical Overview

Matches between Rayo Vallecano and Getafe have historically been tight and low-scoring. In their last six meetings, five ended in draws—four of which were goalless—including the reverse fixture earlier this season, which saw just one shot on target (by Rayo).

With both sides among La Liga’s lowest-scoring teams and both struggling to convert chances lately, this is likely to be another cagey, low-scoring affair.

Both teams are clinging to their last shot at staying in the European race, so expect cautious yet determined performances. While both managers will be pushing for a win, they’ll likely emphasize defensive solidity.

Key absences due to suspension could also impact the balance: Rayo Vallecano will miss attacking midfielder Uche and striker Álvaro Rodríguez, while Getafe are without goalkeeper Batalla, right-back Ratiu, and centre-back Mumin.

For the reasons seen so far, the BetMines Algorithm prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe predicts a match with less than three goals in total. 

• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe predicts Over 2.5 goals at 38%
• The BetMines Algorithm prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe predicts Under 2.5 goals at 62%.

Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe Predicted Lineups

Rayo Vallecano (4-2-3-1): Cardenas; Balliu, Lejeune, Ciss, Espino; Lopez, Valentin; Palazon, Diaz, Garcia; Guardiola. Manager: Inigo Perez.

Getafe (3-4-2-1): Soria; Berrocal, Duarte, Alderete; Djene, Arambarri, Milla, Iglesias; Terrats, Bernat; Mayoral. Manager: Jose Bordalas.