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Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga 11-05-2026

Rayo Vallecano

1 - 1

FT

Girona

Estadio de Vallecas
Guillermo Cuadra Fernández
sky is clear 15.21 °C

Prediction published on May 9, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 9, 2026 10:01 PM

The battle to avoid relegation in LaLiga EA Sports is heating up, and all eyes will be on the clash between Rayo Vallecano and Girona FC at the Vallecas Stadium. This encounter, closing matchday 35, brings together two sides desperate for three crucial points. While both teams are fighting for survival, Girona’s situation appears more precarious, making this a high-stakes fixture for both clubs.


Rayo Vallecano’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Rayo Vallecano approach this match in excellent form, having secured a 0-2 away victory over Getafe in their previous league outing and a 0-1 win against Strasbourg on May 7. Their recent run of results has been impressive, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. This consistency has lifted them to 11th place in the league standings, with an overall record of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats.


At home, Vallecano have shown a strong attacking rhythm, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half of each of their last 11 home matches. Their ability to maintain pressure after the break has been one of their key strengths, often turning tight games into victories. The team’s balance between defense and attack has improved significantly, and the confidence gained from recent performances could prove decisive in this crucial fixture.



  • Ranking: 11th in La Liga

  • Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 1.6 | Average conceded: 0.6

  • Season record: W 10 · D 12 · L 12

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in last 11 home matches


With the support of their fans at Vallecas, Rayo Vallecano will look to extend their unbeaten streak and move closer to securing safety. Their recent momentum and solid defensive structure make them a difficult opponent for any visiting side.


Girona’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Girona FC arrive at this match under pressure after a narrow 0-1 home defeat to Mallorca on May 1. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats in their last five matches. The Catalan side currently sit 17th in the La Liga table, with a season record of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 14 losses. They have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, numbers that highlight their defensive vulnerabilities.


Girona’s away performances have been particularly concerning. They have conceded at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 away matches, and while they tend to find the net in the second half, their inability to maintain clean sheets has cost them valuable points. Despite these struggles, Girona remain a competitive side capable of creating chances, especially through collective play and quick transitions.



  • Ranking: 17th in La Liga

  • Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats

  • Average goals scored: 1.0 | Average conceded: 1.4

  • Season record: W 9 · D 11 · L 14

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in last 21 away matches

  • At least 1 goal conceded in 19 of last 20 away matches


Girona’s challenge will be to overcome their defensive frailties and find consistency in attack. With the threat of relegation looming, they will need to show resilience and determination to secure a positive result in Vallecas.


Rayo Vallecano vs Girona: Tactical Overview and Prediction


The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly balanced, with 2 wins each and 1 draw in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-3 victory for Girona on August 15, 2025. However, current form clearly favors Rayo Vallecano, who have been more consistent and effective in both domestic and European competitions.


Rayo’s recent surge in form, combined with their home advantage, gives them a psychological edge. Their ability to control possession and capitalize on second-half opportunities could be decisive. Girona, on the other hand, will likely adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity and counterattacks to exploit any gaps left by the hosts.


Given the context of the relegation battle, this match promises intensity and emotion. Both teams will fight for every ball, but Rayo Vallecano’s momentum and home support might tilt the balance in their favor. Girona’s defensive record away from home remains a major concern, and unless they can tighten up at the back, they may struggle to contain the hosts’ attacking rhythm.


Statistically, the match trends suggest a tight contest with limited scoring opportunities. The Under 2.5 goals market appears slightly favored, supported by both teams’ recent averages and defensive focus in high-pressure games.


BetMines Prediction


Rayo Vallecano vs Girona prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 50% probability.

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona - Predictions

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Rayo Vallecano vs Girona: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Rayo Vallecano

Girona

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

70%

7

30%

3

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Rayo Vallecano and Girona in La Liga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

8

Rayo Vallecano

38

12

14

12

41:44

50

1.32

W
D
D
W
W
19

Girona

38

9

14

15

39:55

41

1.08

L
D
D
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Rayo Vallecano vs Girona: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Rayo Vallecano vs Girona be played?
The La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano and Girona will be played on May 11, 2026 at 19:00.
Where will Rayo Vallecano vs Girona be played?
The match between Rayo Vallecano and Girona will be played at Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid - Spain
Who will referee Rayo Vallecano vs Girona?
The referee for the match will be Guillermo Cuadra Fernández.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Rayo Vallecano vs Girona in the La Liga?
The odds are: Rayo Vallecano to win 2.55, draw 3.10, Girona to win 3.00.
What are the betting odds for Rayo Vallecano vs Girona for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 2.00 and Under 2.5 at 1.80.
Will both Rayo Vallecano and Girona score in the La Liga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.75, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.00.
What is the most likely correct score for Rayo Vallecano vs Girona in the La Liga?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 6.
What are the head-to-head results between Rayo Vallecano and Girona?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano and Girona, Rayo Vallecano won 2 times, Girona won 2, and 1 ended in a draw.

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