RB Leipzig, hosting VfB Stuttgart in the final matchday of the Bundesliga, still have a chance to qualify for European competition by sneaking into the top six. Zsolt Löw’s side, underwhelming this season after finishing fourth last year, has only one path to sixth place: they must beat Stuttgart—ending a four-match winless streak—and hope Mainz slip up against Bayer Leverkusen. If this combination plays out, the Red Bulls would secure a spot in next season’s UEFA Europa Conference League—a clear step down from the Champions League target set at the start of the season. Reaching a European cup at this point is the only way Sesko and teammates can salvage a campaign marred by inconsistency and capped by the sacking of Marco Rose on March 30. Rose had been at the helm since September 2022. After Sunday, Leipzig’s management is expected to reflect on what went wrong and start planning for the upcoming season. Stuttgart, meanwhile, are another major disappointment this season when compared to their stunning second-place finish last year. Now sitting ninth and mathematically out of European qualification through the league, Toppmöller’s squad still has one final card to play: the DFB Pokal final on May 24. A win over surprise finalists Arminia Bielefeld would earn them a place in next season’s UEFA Europa League, marking back-to-back European campaigns.

RB Leipzig Recent Form and Key Stats

Leipzig have failed to win any of their last four Bundesliga matches, drawing with Holstein Kiel, Bayern Munich, and Werder Bremen, and suffering a 4-0 defeat to Eintracht Frankfurt. In their most recent outing, they were held to a frustrating 0-0 draw away to Bremen, dropping out of the top six as a result. Their last win came on April 11 in a 2-3 away victory over Wolfsburg.

This winless run has left them stuck on 54 points, the product of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses. However, they’ve been more solid at home, going unbeaten in their last four games at Red Bull Arena with two wins and two draws. In fact, Leipzig have only lost once in their last 12 home matches, with seven wins and four draws.

VfB Stuttgart Recent Form and Key Stats

Stuttgart come into the match on the back of two straight wins—against St. Pauli and Augsburg—without conceding a single goal. Their latest 4-0 victory over Augsburg featured goals from Karazor, Woltemade, Millot, and Demirović. Despite this, they remain ninth in the standings with 47 points, four behind sixth place with only three points left to play for—meaning they're officially out of the race for European spots via the league.

Toppmöller’s side is unbeaten in their last three away games, winning 0-4 at Bochum, 0-1 at St. Pauli, and drawing 4-4 at Union Berlin. They’ve actually performed slightly better on the road this season, earning 24 points away (compared to 23 at home), with a record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses. Since the beginning of 2025, they've lost only twice away from the MHP Arena.

RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart Prediction and Tactical Overview

Heading into the final round of the season, matches are often decided more by motivation than form. RB Leipzig still have something to play for—if they win and Mainz fail to beat Bayer Leverkusen, they'll finish sixth and book a spot in the Europa Conference League.

Stuttgart, on the other hand, have nothing to gain from this fixture and are clearly focused on the DFB Pokal final against Arminia Bielefeld on May 24. It seems unlikely that Toppmöller's men will go all out in Leipzig for a win that serves no practical purpose beyond boosting morale.

Moreover, Leipzig have a dominant home record against Stuttgart, having won all of their last six meetings at Red Bull Arena. Their most recent clash, on August 25, 2023, ended in a commanding 5-1 win with goals from Openda, Kampl, and Simons—who are still key figures for the Red Bulls.

Considering the motivation gap and Leipzig’s superior head-to-head record at home, the RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart prediction for Bundesliga Matchday 34, according to the BetMines algorithm, leans toward a home victory.

• RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart prediction from the BetMines algorithm predicts a 1 at 45%.
  
  
• RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart prediction from the BetMines algorithm predicts X at 22%.
  
  
• RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart prediction of the BetMines algorithm predicts 2 at 33%.

RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart Predicted Lineups

RB LEIPZIG (4-4-2): Gulacsi; Nedeljkovic, Bitshiabu, Lukeba, Raum; Baku, Seiwald, Vermeeren, Simons; Sesko, Openda. Coach: Zsolt Löw

VFB STUTTGART (4-4-2): Nubel; Vagnoman, Jaquez, Chabot, Mittelstadt; Leweling, Karazor, Millot, Fuhrich; Undav, Woltemade. Coach: Toppmöller