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Real Betis
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Atlético Madrid
Prediction published on Feb 3, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Feb 3, 2026 10:01 PM
The Copa del Rey quarter-final between Real Betis and Atlético Madrid promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the round. Both sides arrive with different motivations but equal ambition. For Betis, this is a golden opportunity to reach the semi-finals in front of their own fans at La Cartuja, a stadium that has become a fortress for them in recent months. For Atlético, the cup represents a vital chance to salvage a season that has fallen short of expectations in other competitions. With both teams showing solid form and a strong desire to progress, this clash is set to deliver intensity and drama from start to finish.
Real Betis have been one of the most consistent sides in this year’s Copa del Rey, boasting a perfect record of four wins from four matches. They have averaged 3.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game in the competition, underlining their attacking power and defensive balance. The Andalusian side also comes into this match after a 2-1 victory over Valencia on February 1, further extending their positive momentum.
Recent performances show a team that thrives at home. Betis have won three of their last five matches across all competitions, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their home form has been particularly impressive, with Over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 15 home fixtures. Moreover, they have drawn at half time in their last six Copa del Rey home games, showing a tendency to start cautiously before taking control in the second half.
In the Copa del Rey, Betis have scored in 26 of their last 27 matches and have avoided defeat in 25 of those. Such consistency makes them a formidable opponent, especially when playing in front of their supporters. Even when faced with setbacks in European competition, Betis have shown resilience, bouncing back quickly to maintain their domestic momentum. Their ability to combine creativity in attack with discipline in defense could be the key to overcoming Atlético’s structured approach.
Atlético Madrid enter this quarter-final with the pressure of expectation weighing heavily on their shoulders. Despite sitting above Betis in the league standings, their performances have not always matched the quality of their squad. The Copa del Rey now stands as a crucial opportunity to restore confidence and aim for silverware after disappointments in the league, Supercopa, and Champions League.
In their last five matches, Atlético have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game. Their defensive solidity remains a hallmark, but their attack has occasionally lacked the cutting edge needed to finish off opponents. The goalless draw against Levante on January 31 highlighted these issues, as they struggled to convert possession into clear chances.
Nevertheless, Atlético’s resilience cannot be underestimated. They have not lost at half time in 27 of their last 28 matches, and their away record shows similar stability, with no first-half defeats in their last 14 away games. Their matches also tend to produce plenty of action in set-piece situations, with Over 7.5 corners recorded in 19 of their last 20 games. This could be a key factor in a tight knockout tie where small details often decide the outcome.
Historically, Atlético Madrid have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five meetings, including a 2-0 victory in October 2025. However, Real Betis’s recent home form and their remarkable run in the Copa del Rey suggest that this encounter could be far more balanced than past results indicate. Betis have not lost at half time in 20 of their last 22 cup matches, often growing stronger as the game progresses.
Both teams are expected to rely on their strengths: Betis on their fluid attacking play and home advantage, and Atlético on their compact defense and counter-attacking efficiency. Given Betis’s tendency to score in nearly every match and Atlético’s ability to stay organized under pressure, this quarter-final could produce a dynamic and closely contested battle. The Andalusians will look to exploit their momentum and the energy of the home crowd, while Atlético will aim to impose their experience and tactical discipline.
According to the latest data, the probabilities for this match are Real Betis win 33%, Draw 25%, and Atlético Madrid win 42%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option stands at 55%, while Over 2.5 goals has a 55% likelihood. Considering Betis’s strong home record and Atlético’s defensive reliability, this tie could be finely balanced.
Real Betis vs Atlético Madrid prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 55% probability.
REAL BETIS (4-3-3): Pau López; Ortiz, Llorente, Natan, Gómez; Deossa, Fornals, Roca; Antony, Chimy Ávila, Abde.
ATLÉTICO MADRID (4-4-2): Oblak; Molina, Le Normand, Lenglet, Ruggeri; Baena, Koke, Johnny, Nico González; Almada, Julián Álvarez.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Betis
Atlético Madrid
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
8
2
8
2