Tools
Prediction published on Jan 13, 2026 4:01 AM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Jan 13, 2026 4:01 AM
The Copa del Rey round of 16 brings an exciting single-leg clash between Real Betis and Elche at La Cartuja. The Andalusian side has a strong connection with this competition, having reached four finals and lifted the trophy twice, most recently in 2022. This year’s edition carries extra motivation for Betis, as the final is scheduled to be played at their temporary home ground, adding symbolic value to their campaign. For Elche, this fixture represents another chance to extend a remarkable season that has already exceeded expectations, with the team performing well above early predictions.
Real Betis approach this encounter as one of the top contenders in the Copa del Rey. According to the latest data, they rank first in the competition, boasting an impressive record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, averaging 4.3 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded per match. Their attacking consistency has been remarkable, with at least one goal scored in 25 of their last 26 Copa del Rey matches and in 37 of their last 40 games overall. At home, Betis have been particularly dominant, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in each of their last 11 home fixtures and at least one goal before half time in the last 10.
Recent form shows a balanced run: 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Their latest outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Real Oviedo on January 10, 2026. Despite a few inconsistent league results, Betis remain a strong cup side, often raising their level in knockout competitions. They have also won at half time in their last three Copa del Rey matches and have not lost at the break in 19 of their last 21 in this tournament.
From a tactical perspective, Betis are expected to rely on their attacking depth and home advantage. The likely lineup includes Valles in goal, with Ricardo Rodríguez, Natan, Bartra, and Bellerín forming the back line. In midfield, Roca and Fornals could anchor the play, while Ruibal, Lo Celso, and Antony support Bakambu up front. Injuries to Junior Firpo, Isco, and Cucho Hernández slightly limit their options, but the squad remains competitive and motivated to progress.
Elche have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season, combining solid performances with resilience in both league and cup competitions. They currently sit second in the Copa del Rey ranking, with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per match. Their last five games show a balanced trend: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Most recently, they drew 1-1 against Valencia on January 10, 2026.
Elche’s journey in the Copa del Rey has been eventful. They needed extra time to overcome Quintanar del Rey (1-2), then defeated Eibar (0-1) and advanced comfortably in later rounds. Their away form has been particularly encouraging, having won at half time in 6 of their last 10 away matches in this competition. This consistency on the road gives them confidence ahead of the trip to Seville.
Coach Éder Sarabia may line up Peña in goal, with Pétrot, Affengruber, and Chust in defense. The midfield could feature Valera, Febas, Aguado, Neto, and Núñez, while Diangana and Álvaro Rodríguez lead the attack. However, injuries to Rafa Mir and Héctor Fort reduce their attacking options, and several players remain doubtful pending fitness tests. Despite these setbacks, Elche’s collective spirit and recent results make them a dangerous opponent.
Historically, Real Betis have had the upper hand in this fixture, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in their last five meetings against Elche. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 on August 18, 2025. Across those matches, Betis have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, confirming their attacking edge. Given the single-leg format and the venue advantage, Betis enter as favorites, but Elche’s recent form suggests they won’t go down easily.
Both teams have shown attacking intent in recent weeks, and the data supports a potentially open contest. Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in 51% of their recent matches, while Both Teams To Score (Yes) stands at 54%. With both sides averaging more than one goal per game, spectators can expect an entertaining clash filled with chances.
Considering the current form, historical record, and statistical trends, Real Betis appear slightly favored to advance. Their attacking consistency, home advantage, and strong record in the Copa del Rey make them the logical pick. According to the latest probabilities, the most likely outcome is a Real Betis win (1) with 45% probability, followed by a Draw (X) at 25% and an Elche win (2) at 30%.
Real Betis vs Elche prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 45% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Betis
Elche
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1