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Prediction published on Apr 29, 2025 8:49 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on May 5, 2025 5:27 PM
At the Estadio Benito Villamarín, the first leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League semifinal takes place, featuring Real Betis, the first Spanish team to reach this stage of the competition, and Fiorentina, chasing their third consecutive final after defeats against West Ham and Olympiacos. The home side, currently in an exciting race for fifth place in La Liga — which would secure qualification for next season's Champions League — arrives at this historic appointment full of confidence, having scored five goals against Valladolid in their latest league match. The Spaniards are playing in this semifinal thanks to a European journey that saw them struggle in the initial group phase but then deliver convincing performances against Gent, Vitória de Guimarães, and Jagiellonia. Much of the credit goes to Manuel Pellegrini, whose experience has been crucial in successfully instilling his style of play into the team over the course of the season. Fiorentina, meanwhile, have enjoyed a string of positive results recently, staying firmly in the hunt for European qualification in Serie A. They come into this match hungry for another shot at the Conference League title. Raffaele Palladino's men started this edition strongly, finishing third in the league phase, before showing inconsistent form in the knockout rounds, narrowly eliminating Panathinaikos in the Round of 16 and NK Celje in the quarterfinals. A major boost for the Viola ahead of their trip to Andalusia is the return of Moise Kean, the team's top scorer this season with 23 goals.
Real Betis, fully in the race for a Champions League spot, are coming off two consecutive La Liga victories: 1-3 against Girona and 5-1 against Valladolid, showcasing their impressive offensive potential. Over their last five matches, they have registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game.
In this edition of the UEFA Europa Conference League, Real Betis have achieved 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, scoring 18 goals and conceding 9 (averages of 1.5 and 0.75 goals per game, respectively). At home, they have only lost one match, collecting 3 wins and 2 draws, with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded. The team's top scorer in the competition is Cedric Bakambu with 7 goals.
Fiorentina, under Raffaele Palladino, are enjoying a strong period of form, unbeaten in their last 9 matches across all competitions, with 6 wins and 3 draws. In their latest Serie A outing, they secured a 2-1 victory in the Tuscan derby against Empoli, following another 2-1 win against Cagliari.
In Europe, Fiorentina's performances have been somewhat inconsistent: 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats. Among the semifinalists, they have conceded the most goals (14) but are the second-highest scorers (27), behind only Chelsea. Away from home, Fiorentina have won and lost 2 matches each, and drawn 1, scoring 10 goals and conceding 9 across 5 away games.
At this point in the competition, both Real Betis and Fiorentina will do everything they can to reach the final: for the Spaniards, it would be a historic achievement as the first Iberian team to do so, while for the Tuscans, it would be a chance to avenge their back-to-back defeats in the last two editions against West Ham and Olympiacos.
These are two very different sides: Manuel Pellegrini’s Real Betis focuses heavily on ball possession to create well-worked scoring opportunities, leveraging Isco’s technique and the unpredictability of wingers Antony and Rodriguez. Fiorentina, on the other hand, prefer a more vertical, counterattacking style, quickly pushing forward to find Moise Kean, who is available again after recent personal issues.
Expect the home side to dominate possession, with the visitors adopting a more cautious approach and looking to hit on the break. As for absences, Pellegrini will be without Avila and Llorente, while Palladino must cope without Dodo.
Considering the potential of the two attacks, the BetMines Algorithm prediction for Real Betis vs Fiorentina predicts a spectacular match in which both teams will score at least one goal.
Real Betis (4-2-3-1): Vieites; Sabaly, Bartra, Natan, R. Rodriguez; Cardoso, Fornals; Antony, Isco, Jesus Rodriguez; Bakambu. Manager: Pellegrini.
Fiorentina (3-5-2): De Gea; Pongracic, Comuzzo, Ranieri; Folorunsho, Mandragora, Cataldi, Fagioli, Gosens; Gudmundsson, Beltran. Manager: Palladino.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Betis
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0