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Prediction published on Sep 2, 2026 7:08 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Sep 2, 2026 7:08 PM
Real Betis host Real Madrid on Friday, September 4, in an attractive La Liga fixture at the Estadio La Cartuja de Sevilla. Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 local time, with the home side aiming to respond after a heavy defeat and the visitors seeking to preserve their perfect league record. Betis began the campaign with narrow wins over Real Sociedad and Valencia, but their momentum was halted by a 5-2 loss against Levante. Real Madrid, meanwhile, have collected three victories from three matches under Mourinho, scoring freely against Real Sociedad and Málaga after a more demanding opening win over Espanyol. The standings place Betis seventh and Real Madrid second, while the early numbers point to a contest between a home team that has scored consistently and an away side arriving in outstanding form.
Real Betis have recorded two victories, one draw and two defeats across their last five matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their La Liga record this season stands at two wins and one loss, with averages of 1.3 goals for and 1.7 against. Those figures reflect the contrast between their efficient opening performances and the defensive difficulties exposed in the defeat to Levante.
The hosts started with a 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad before earning another three points through a 1-0 away success against Valencia. Both results demonstrated their ability to protect a narrow advantage. Their next match produced a very different picture, however, as Levante scored five times in a 5-2 Betis defeat on August 29. Pellegrini's side must therefore recover quickly before facing an opponent averaging more than three goals per league game.
Betis can nevertheless take confidence from an important attacking sequence: they have scored at least once in each of their last 13 matches. There has also been at least one second-half goal in their previous 11 games, including each of their last 10 La Liga fixtures. These trends suggest that the hosts can remain dangerous as the contest develops, even if their recent defensive average creates a significant challenge against Real Madrid.
Squad availability could influence the home team's options. Lo Celso, Diego Conde and Aitor Ruibal are ruled out, while Morante is considered a serious doubt. Betis will need to balance their attacking threat with greater resistance after conceding five goals in their latest outing.
Real Madrid approach this match with five wins from their last five games. During that run, they have averaged 2.8 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded. Their league start has been equally convincing: three victories, no draws and no defeats, accompanied by averages of 3.3 goals for and 0.7 against per match.
The visitors opened their campaign with a hard-earned 2-1 win over Espanyol, secured by Espí's stoppage-time goal. They then defeated Real Sociedad 4-1 and followed that result with a 4-0 victory over Málaga on August 30. With eight goals scored across their two most recent games, Real Madrid travel to Sevilla carrying considerable attacking momentum.
The wider statistical record also supports the visitors. Real Madrid have scored at least once in 36 of their last 38 matches and in 19 of their previous 20 away fixtures. More than 1.5 total goals have been registered in 37 of their last 40 games, including 25 of their last 27 La Liga matches. At the same time, each of their last 12 away league fixtures has stayed under 3.5 total goals, indicating that their trips have regularly produced goals without necessarily becoming extremely high-scoring encounters.
Decisive results have been another recurring feature. Real Madrid have avoided draws in 38 of their last 40 matches, 25 of their previous 27 league games and 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. They have also led at half-time in seven of their last 11 matches and six of their last 10 in La Liga. At least one first-half goal has been scored in 20 of their previous 22 games, while 18 of their last 20 away matches have featured a second-half goal.
Mourinho will be without several players. Mendy and Rodrygo are described as long-term absentees, while Asencio, Thiago Pitarch, Tchouameni and Endrick are also injured. Despite those absences, the visitors enter the fixture with a perfect competitive record this season.
The central question is whether Betis can reproduce the disciplined approach behind their two 1-0 victories or whether the defensive problems seen against Levante will return. Their sequence of scoring in 13 consecutive matches gives them a route into the contest, and the 59% Both Teams To Score figure underlines that possibility. The same percentage is assigned to over 2.5 goals.
Real Madrid's current numbers still give the visitors the clearer statistical advantage. They have won all three league matches, possess the stronger recent scoring and defensive averages, and rarely settle for draws. The match probabilities give Real Madrid a 51% chance of victory, compared with 25% for Betis and 23% for the draw. Betis have won one, drawn two and lost two in the summarized head-to-head record, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. The latest meeting ended 1-1 on April 24, 2026.
The opening period may be particularly important. Real Madrid's record of a first-half goal in 20 of 22 matches suggests that Betis cannot afford a slow start. If the hosts stay compact and extend their scoring streak, they can make the game competitive. However, the visitors' five consecutive wins, strong league averages and ability to produce decisive results make Real Madrid the more convincing side on the available evidence.
Real Betis: Valles; Bellerín, Bartra, Natan, Fran García; Marc Roca, Facundo Bernal, Fornals; Antony, Riquelme, Cucho Hernández.
Real Madrid: Courtois; Dumfries, Konaté, Huijsen, Cucurella; Valverde, Bernardo Silva, Arda Güler; Bellingham, Vinicius, Mbappé. Brahim is also an option to enter the starting side, potentially in place of Arda Güler or Bernardo Silva.
Real Betis vs Real Madrid prediction from BetMines: Real Madrid win (2) with 51% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Betis
Real Madrid
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
6
4
2
8
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
9
1
7
3