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Prediction published on May 21, 2025 5:55 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 23, 2025 3:36 PM
The final round of the 2024/25 La Liga season kicks off on Friday, May 23rd, with a clash at the Estadio Benito Villamarín, where two teams with little left to play for face off: Real Betis and Valencia. The hosts, led by the experienced Manuel Pellegrini, have picked up just one point in their last two matches, seeing their dream of a fifth-place finish—and a Champions League spot—fade away. However, the Verdiblancos still have reasons to celebrate securing sixth place: it guarantees qualification for the UEFA Europa League and marks an improvement over last year’s seventh-place finish. That said, their season is far from over: next Wednesday, they’ll face Chelsea, coached by Enzo Maresca, in the UEFA Europa Conference League final, set to be played at San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao. With the league match against Valencia carrying no weight in terms of standings, it gives Pellegrini a chance to test some fringe players and make future assessments. Valencia, on the other hand, come into this fixture with no more objectives to chase: they are set to conclude their sixth consecutive season without qualifying for European competitions, their last appearance coming after a fourth-place finish in the 2018/19 campaign. Currently sitting in 12th, Carlos Corberan's side missed their chance to push into the top 8, following losses to Alavés and Athletic Club in their last two outings. For the Blanquinegros, this final matchday also serves as a testing ground for evaluating squad members as they plan for a long-awaited return to European contention.
Real Betis’ last win came on May 4th, a 1-2 away victory against Espanyol. Since then, they’ve recorded three draws, including one after extra time against Fiorentina in the Conference League semifinal, and a heavy 4-1 defeat to Atlético Madrid last Sunday.
Recent games involving Betis have been goal-filled: in their last ten matches, they’ve both scored and conceded at least once in each. Additionally, seven of their last eight matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
The Andalusians have collected 59 points in La Liga so far, with a record of 16 wins, 11 draws, and 10 defeats, averaging 1.51 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per match. At home, Betis have lost only one of their last nine games in all competitions, winning six and drawing two. Their top scorer in the league is Isco with 9 goals, followed by Giovani Lo Celso with 8.
Valencia come into this match off back-to-back 1-0 defeats—first to Alavés, and then last weekend to Athletic Club. Prior to that, they were on a 10-game unbeaten streak, winning six (including a standout 1-2 victory over Real Madrid) and drawing four.
Unlike Betis, Valencia’s recent matches have often been low-scoring: five of their last seven have ended with under 2.5 goals.
Carlos Corberan’s men have picked up 45 points so far, with 11 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses. Their defense has been their Achilles’ heel, averaging 1.43 goals conceded per match—a number that rises to 1.83 in away games. Still, their 2025 away form has been solid, with only two defeats in eleven road matches. Hugo Duro is the club’s top scorer in the league with 11 goals.
Previous encounters between Real Betis and Valencia have often been high-scoring. The reverse fixture ended in a 4-2 win for Valencia on November 23rd, with Hugo Duro scoring twice (and also netting an own goal), along with Tárrega and Diego López for the home side, while Ávila scored for Betis.
In this season finale, Manuel Pellegrini may rotate his squad, giving minutes to players like Altimira and Cucho Hernández, in order to rest key starters such as Antony and Isco ahead of the Conference League final on May 28th.
Both teams go into this game without the pressure of needing a result. This freedom—combined with the motivation of second-string players aiming to impress—could lead to an open, entertaining match with goals at both ends.
For this reason, the Real Betis vs Valencia prediction for Matchday 38 of La Liga, based on the BetMines algorithm, is a match with at least three goals (Over 2.5 goals).
REAL BETIS (4-2-3-1): Adrian; Ortiz, Bartra, Mendy, Perraud; Carvalho, Altimira; Abde, Lo Celso, Rodriguez; Cucho. Coach: Manuel Pellegrini
VALENCIA (4-4-2): Mamardashvili; Mosquera, Diakhaby, Tarrega, Gaya; Rioja, Barrenechea, Guerra, Jaime; Almeida, Duro. Coach: Carlos Corberan
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Betis
Valencia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2