Tools
Real Madrid
2 - 1
FT
Deportivo Alavés
Prediction published on Apr 19, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 19, 2026 10:01 PM
The upcoming LaLiga clash between Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés promises to be a fascinating encounter at the Bernabéu. The home side arrives under pressure after a disappointing European exit, while the visitors continue their fight to secure safety in the league. With both teams showing a tendency for high-scoring matches in recent weeks, this fixture could deliver plenty of action and goals.
Real Madrid come into this match after a 4-3 defeat against Bayern München, a result that ended their Champions League campaign. Domestically, they remain strong, sitting 2nd in LaLiga with a record of 22 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses. Their attacking power has been consistent, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.9. However, recent form has been mixed, with only one win in their last five matches across all competitions (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats).
The Bernabéu has witnessed plenty of entertainment lately, as both teams have scored in the second half of each of Real Madrid’s last four home matches. In fact, over 1.5 goals have been scored in 31 of their last 33 games, underlining their attacking nature and occasional defensive lapses. They have also scored at least once in 27 of their last 28 matches, showing remarkable consistency in front of goal.
Despite their attacking strength, the team’s defensive concentration has been questioned, particularly after conceding multiple goals in recent fixtures. The absence of key players such as Courtois, Rodrygo, and Asensio due to injury has forced adjustments, but the expected return of several regular starters could provide a timely boost. With the home crowd demanding a reaction, Real Madrid will aim to reassert their dominance and end their winless streak in style.
Deportivo Alavés travel to Madrid sitting 17th in the table, fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. Their recent form has been encouraging, with one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. They drew 3-3 against Real Sociedad in their most recent outing, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over the course of the season, they have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
Alavés have been involved in a series of goal-filled encounters, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 12 matches and at least one goal conceded in their last 16 league games. Their ability to find the net has improved, scoring in five consecutive matches, but defensive issues remain a concern, especially away from home where they have conceded in their last 14 LaLiga trips.
Despite these weaknesses, the visitors have shown resilience and attacking intent. Their recent performances suggest they can trouble even the strongest defenses, particularly if they exploit Real Madrid’s occasional lapses at the back. However, maintaining concentration for the full 90 minutes at the Bernabéu will be a major challenge.
The historical record between these sides strongly favors Real Madrid, who have won all of their last five meetings with an average of 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. The last encounter ended 1-2 in favor of the Madrid side, confirming their dominance in this fixture. However, Alavés’ recent attacking form suggests they could still find opportunities to score, especially if the hosts push forward aggressively.
Given both teams’ recent trends, this match is expected to be open and entertaining. Real Madrid’s attacking depth, combined with Alavés’ willingness to take risks, points toward a game with multiple goals. The home side will likely control possession and create numerous chances, while the visitors may rely on quick transitions and set pieces to threaten.
With both teams regularly involved in high-scoring matches and showing defensive vulnerabilities, the conditions appear ideal for another goal-rich contest. The Bernabéu crowd will expect a strong reaction from their team, and that intensity could further increase the tempo of the game.
REAL MADRID (4-3-3): Lunin; Trent, Militao, Rüdiger, Carreras; Valverde, Tchouaméni, Bellingham; Güler; Mbappé, Vinícius.
DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS (4-4-2): Sivera; Jonny, Tenaglia, Parada; Ángel Pérez, Antonio Blanco, Pablo Ibáñez, Aleñá; Guridi; Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé.
All indicators point toward a match filled with attacking intent and scoring opportunities. Real Madrid’s home record, combined with Alavés’ recent goal-scoring consistency, suggests that the game could easily surpass the two-goal mark. The hosts are clear favorites, but the visitors’ fighting spirit could make the contest more competitive than expected.
Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Madrid
Deportivo Alavés
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3