Favourites
Settings

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga 21-04-2026

Real Madrid

2 - 1

FT

Deportivo Alavés

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Juan Martínez Munuera
light rain 18.31 °C

Prediction published on Apr 19, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 19, 2026 10:01 PM

The upcoming LaLiga clash between Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés promises to be a fascinating encounter at the Bernabéu. The home side arrives under pressure after a disappointing European exit, while the visitors continue their fight to secure safety in the league. With both teams showing a tendency for high-scoring matches in recent weeks, this fixture could deliver plenty of action and goals.


Real Madrid’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Real Madrid come into this match after a 4-3 defeat against Bayern München, a result that ended their Champions League campaign. Domestically, they remain strong, sitting 2nd in LaLiga with a record of 22 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses. Their attacking power has been consistent, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.9. However, recent form has been mixed, with only one win in their last five matches across all competitions (1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats).


The Bernabéu has witnessed plenty of entertainment lately, as both teams have scored in the second half of each of Real Madrid’s last four home matches. In fact, over 1.5 goals have been scored in 31 of their last 33 games, underlining their attacking nature and occasional defensive lapses. They have also scored at least once in 27 of their last 28 matches, showing remarkable consistency in front of goal.


Despite their attacking strength, the team’s defensive concentration has been questioned, particularly after conceding multiple goals in recent fixtures. The absence of key players such as Courtois, Rodrygo, and Asensio due to injury has forced adjustments, but the expected return of several regular starters could provide a timely boost. With the home crowd demanding a reaction, Real Madrid will aim to reassert their dominance and end their winless streak in style.



  • LaLiga position: 2nd

  • Average goals scored: 2.1

  • Average goals conceded: 0.9

  • Over 1.5 goals in 31 of the last 33 matches

  • Over 7.5 corners in 25 of the last 27 matches

  • Haven’t drawn in 29 of their last 30 games


Deportivo Alavés’ Recent Form and Key Stats


Deportivo Alavés travel to Madrid sitting 17th in the table, fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone. Their recent form has been encouraging, with one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. They drew 3-3 against Real Sociedad in their most recent outing, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over the course of the season, they have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.


Alavés have been involved in a series of goal-filled encounters, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 12 matches and at least one goal conceded in their last 16 league games. Their ability to find the net has improved, scoring in five consecutive matches, but defensive issues remain a concern, especially away from home where they have conceded in their last 14 LaLiga trips.


Despite these weaknesses, the visitors have shown resilience and attacking intent. Their recent performances suggest they can trouble even the strongest defenses, particularly if they exploit Real Madrid’s occasional lapses at the back. However, maintaining concentration for the full 90 minutes at the Bernabéu will be a major challenge.



  • LaLiga position: 17th

  • Average goals scored: 1.1

  • Average goals conceded: 1.5

  • Over 1.5 goals in the last 12 matches

  • At least one goal conceded in the last 16 LaLiga games

  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half in the last 19 matches


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


The historical record between these sides strongly favors Real Madrid, who have won all of their last five meetings with an average of 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. The last encounter ended 1-2 in favor of the Madrid side, confirming their dominance in this fixture. However, Alavés’ recent attacking form suggests they could still find opportunities to score, especially if the hosts push forward aggressively.


Given both teams’ recent trends, this match is expected to be open and entertaining. Real Madrid’s attacking depth, combined with Alavés’ willingness to take risks, points toward a game with multiple goals. The home side will likely control possession and create numerous chances, while the visitors may rely on quick transitions and set pieces to threaten.


With both teams regularly involved in high-scoring matches and showing defensive vulnerabilities, the conditions appear ideal for another goal-rich contest. The Bernabéu crowd will expect a strong reaction from their team, and that intensity could further increase the tempo of the game.


Probable Lineups Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés


REAL MADRID (4-3-3): Lunin; Trent, Militao, Rüdiger, Carreras; Valverde, Tchouaméni, Bellingham; Güler; Mbappé, Vinícius.
DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS (4-4-2): Sivera; Jonny, Tenaglia, Parada; Ángel Pérez, Antonio Blanco, Pablo Ibáñez, Aleñá; Guridi; Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé.


Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction


All indicators point toward a match filled with attacking intent and scoring opportunities. Real Madrid’s home record, combined with Alavés’ recent goal-scoring consistency, suggests that the game could easily surpass the two-goal mark. The hosts are clear favorites, but the visitors’ fighting spirit could make the contest more competitive than expected.


Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 57% probability.

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés - Predictions

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Odds

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Real Madrid

Deportivo Alavés

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés in La Liga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

2

Real Madrid

38

27

5

6

77:35

86

2.26

W
L
W
W
W
14

Deportivo Alavés

38

11

10

17

44:56

43

1.13

L
D
W
W
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés be played?
The La Liga match between Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés will be played on April 21, 2026 at 19:30.
Where will Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés be played?
The match between Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés will be played at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid - Spain
Who will referee Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés?
The referee for the match will be Juan Martínez Munuera.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga?
The odds are: Real Madrid to win 1.22, draw 6.50, Deportivo Alavés to win 12.00.
What are the betting odds for Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.44 and Under 2.5 at 2.75.
Will both Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés score in the La Liga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.95, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.80.
What is the most likely correct score for Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 7.
What are the head-to-head results between Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés, Real Madrid won 5 times, Deportivo Alavés won 0, and 0 ended in a draw.

Article available in:

Unlock the full BetMines experience

Go Premium and get even more and better data for your bets.

What's included?

What's included

  • Live scanner
  • Pre-Match scanner
  • Value bet bot
  • Backtesting for Pre-Match scanner up to 24 months
  • Trends
  • Advanced team stats
  • Exclusive events in the advanced filter
  • Exclusive events in the BetMines Machine
  • All market predictions unlocked
  • VIP Telegram Group

Try BetMines Premium for free

Unlock scanners, alerts, monitoring and value bets.

  • Live alerts and Monitoring
  • Pre-match scanner and filters
  • Premium predictions and value bets