Tools
Prediction published on Mar 31, 2025 1:40 PM by Dario in Spain - Copa Del Rey | Modified on Mar 31, 2025 1:40 PM
At the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium, home side Real Madrid will host Real Sociedad in the second leg of the Copa del Rey semi-final. The Blancos secured a 1-0 victory in the first leg, thanks to a goal from Brazilian starlet Endrick after 19 minutes. This result gives Ancelotti's men a clear advantage, as they only need a draw to advance to the final, where they will face either Atletico Madrid or Barcelona. Despite a congested fixture schedule, it is unlikely that Ancelotti will rotate as heavily as he did in the first leg. His goal is to avoid any drop in concentration and secure Real Madrid's 21st Copa del Rey title. The Italian coach will likely bring back key players such as Vinicius Junior and Valverde, who were initially benched in the last La Liga match against Leganes but had to come on to help the team secure a 3-2 comeback win. While reaching the Copa del Rey final is just a step toward a potential treble for Real Madrid, it remains the only realistic target for Real Sociedad, who have endured a disappointing season so far. Out of the Conference League and struggling in the domestic European qualification race, Imanol Alguacil's side will fight hard for a comeback, although their chances remain slim on paper.
Real Madrid are in strong form, having won four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent victory came in La Liga, a 3-2 comeback win over Leganes.
In the Copa del Rey, Real Madrid progressed to the semi-finals after defeating Minera in the third round, Celta Vigo in the Round of 16 (after extra time), and Leganes in the quarter-finals. Counting their first-leg win, Los Blancos have averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match in the competition.
Real Sociedad recently ended a month-long winless streak by beating Valladolid in La Liga. In their last five matches, they have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with the defeats resulting in their Europa League elimination at the hands of Manchester United.
In the Copa del Rey, Alguacil's squad has 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, averaging 2 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per match. Moreover, Real Sociedad have lost just one of their last 19 away matches in the Copa del Rey.
Real Madrid are clear favorites not only to progress but also to win this second-leg match. The Blancos have not lost at home since November 5, while Real Sociedad have struggled away from home, recording 3 losses and 1 draw in their last four away matches.
Historically, Real Sociedad have not won at the Santiago Bernabeu since February 6, 2020. In their last five head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid have won four times, while Real Sociedad have managed only one victory.
For these reasons, the BetMines algorithm for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad predicts a clear victory for the home team.
Real Madrid (4-3-3): Lunin; Vazquez, Asencio, Rudiger, F. Garcia; Valverde, Tchouameni, Bellingham; Rodrygo, Mbappe, Vinicius. Coach: Carlo Ancelotti.
Real Sociedad (4-3-3): Remiro; Aramburu, Zubeldia, Elustondo, Munoz; Benat, Zubimendi, S. Gomez; Kubo, Oskarsson, Oyarzabal. Coach: Imanol Alguacil.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
9
1
4
6
4.5
9
1
7
3