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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | La Liga 14-02-2026

Real Madrid

4 - 1

FT

Real Sociedad

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Francisco José Hernández Maeso
sky is clear 6.11 °C

Prediction published on Feb 12, 2026 10:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Feb 12, 2026 10:01 PM

The upcoming clash between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad promises to be one of the standout fixtures in La Liga, bringing together two sides in excellent form. The hosts are chasing the league leaders closely, while the visitors continue to impress with their unbeaten streak in 2026. With both teams showing consistency and attacking flair, this encounter at the Bernabéu is expected to deliver high-quality football and plenty of excitement for fans and bettors alike.


Real Madrid’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Real Madrid approach this match in superb domestic form, having recorded eight consecutive league victories. Their latest success came with a 0-2 win away at Valencia, a result that kept them just one point behind the top spot. Despite setbacks in other competitions, including an early Copa del Rey exit and a difficult Champions League campaign, their league consistency remains remarkable.


Statistically, the numbers underline their dominance: 18 wins, 3 draws, and only 2 defeats in La Liga, with an average of 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. The team has scored in each of their last 14 matches, netting at least two goals in the last 13. Their attacking rhythm rarely falters, and they have not drawn in their last 16 matches overall. At home, the record is equally impressive — no draws in their last 18 home fixtures and consistent scoring in both halves.



  • Over 1.5 goals have been scored in the last 19 matches of Real Madrid.

  • They have not lost at half time in 22 of their last 23 league games.

  • Real Madrid have won at half time in 7 of their last 10 home matches.


Although injuries have affected key players, the squad depth has allowed them to maintain momentum. The home advantage, combined with their attacking efficiency, makes them a formidable opponent for any visiting side.


Real Sociedad’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Real Sociedad arrive in Madrid full of confidence after a strong run of results. Their recent 0-1 victory away at Athletic Club extended their unbeaten streak and confirmed their excellent form in both league and cup competitions. In La Liga, they have accumulated 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. The team’s attacking consistency has been notable, with at least one goal scored in each of their last 12 games.


However, defensive fragility remains a concern. Real Sociedad have conceded in their last 17 league matches and in each of their last 16 away games. Despite this, their ability to start strongly has been a key factor — they have won at half time in their last five La Liga matches and in their last three away fixtures. Their offensive approach ensures that they remain competitive even against top-tier opponents.



  • Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 18 of their last 20 league matches.

  • They have not kept a clean sheet in their last 17 La Liga games.

  • Real Sociedad have won at half time in 6 of their last 10 matches.


While several players are sidelined through suspension or injury, the team’s collective spirit and tactical discipline have allowed them to maintain a positive trajectory. Their recent performances against top sides, including a win over Barcelona earlier in the season, demonstrate their capacity to compete at the highest level.


Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Tactical Overview


This fixture brings together two teams that thrive on possession and attacking transitions. Real Madrid will look to impose their rhythm early, using their home advantage to dictate the tempo and exploit spaces in the opposition’s defense. Their recent scoring record suggests that they are likely to find the net more than once, especially considering Real Sociedad’s defensive vulnerabilities.


Real Sociedad, on the other hand, will rely on their quick passing and movement to challenge Madrid’s back line. Their ability to score in every recent match indicates that they can pose a threat, but maintaining defensive solidity will be crucial if they are to take anything from this encounter. The visitors’ fatigue from a busy schedule could also play a role, particularly in the latter stages of the game.


Historically, Real Madrid have dominated this matchup, winning four of the last five head-to-head meetings and averaging two goals per game. However, Real Sociedad’s current form suggests that this could be a more balanced contest than in previous seasons.


Probable Lineups Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad


REAL MADRID (4-3-3): Courtois; Alexander-Arnold, Asencio, Huijsen, Carreras; Valverde, Güler, Tchouaméni, Camavinga; Mbappé or Gonzalo, Vinícius.
REAL SOCIEDAD (4-2-3-1): Remiro; Aramburu, Zubeldia, Martín, Sergio Gómez; Turrientes, Gorrotxategi; Marín, Soler, Guedes; Oyarzabal.


Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction


Given the current form and statistical trends, this match is expected to be open and entertaining, with both teams likely to score. However, Real Madrid’s superior home record and attacking consistency make them the favorites to secure all three points. The visitors’ defensive issues could prove decisive against such a potent offense.


Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 63% probability.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad - Predictions

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Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Real Madrid

Real Sociedad

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Real Madrid and Real Sociedad in La Liga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

2

Real Madrid

38

27

5

6

77:35

86

2.26

W
L
W
W
W
10

Real Sociedad

38

11

13

14

59:61

46

1.21

L
D
D
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation

Who will win ?

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad be played?
The La Liga match between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad will be played on February 14, 2026 at 20:00.
Where will Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad be played?
The match between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad will be played at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid - Spain
Who will referee Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
The referee for the match will be Francisco José Hernández Maeso.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad in the La Liga?
The odds are: Real Madrid to win 1.30, draw 5.75, Real Sociedad to win 8.00.
What are the betting odds for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the La Liga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.44 and Under 2.5 at 2.75.
Will both Real Madrid and Real Sociedad score in the La Liga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad in the La Liga?
The most likely correct score is 2-0, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad, Real Madrid won 4 times, Real Sociedad won 0, and 1 ended in a draw.

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