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Real Oviedo
2 - 1
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Cádiz
Prediction published on May 30, 2025 1:53 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on May 31, 2025 1:56 PM
Sunday, June 1st, at the Carlos Tartiere Stadium, Real Oviedo will host Cádiz in the 42nd and final matchday of LaLiga 2. This is a crucial game for the home side, who are still in full contention for second place, which would guarantee direct promotion to the top division. Currently, Real Oviedo sits third in the standings with 72 points, tied with Mirandés but two points behind second-placed Elche. To secure direct promotion, Paunovic’s team must beat Cádiz and hope that Elche and Mirandés fail to earn points in their respective matches against Deportivo La Coruña and Cartagena. If they fail to reach second place, Oviedo will still have a chance to fight in the playoffs, seeking redemption from last season’s disappointment when they lost in the final. The team is in good form: Los Carbayones come into this fixture unbeaten in nine matches and on paper should have no trouble claiming three points against Cádiz, currently mid-table with 55 points. The Andalusian side, relegated from LaLiga last year, have failed to meet initial expectations, suffering a sharp decline between mid-March and mid-April that ended their playoff ambitions. The lack of pressure on the visitors could be a double-edged sword for Oviedo, who must maintain high concentration to avoid surprises in a match that promises to be decisive for their future.
Real Oviedo comes into the final day unbeaten in nine matches, collecting six wins and three draws. In the last round, Los Carbayones secured a valuable 1-0 victory away at already relegated Tenerife thanks to a goal by Nacho Vidal. This was another positive result in a streak that in the last five games has yielded four wins and one draw, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match.
After 41 matchdays, Real Oviedo is tied with Mirandés in third place with 72 points, holding an overall record of 20 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses. The difference has been made by their excellent home form at Carlos Tartiere Stadium: 42 points earned (13 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses), with an average of 1.6 goals scored and less than one conceded per game.
The boost from the home crowd could prove decisive in this last matchday as well: Real Oviedo has won their last four consecutive home games (against Malaga, Racing Ferrol, Levante, and Zaragoza), keeping clean sheets in the last three.
Gaizka Garitano’s team is experiencing a mixed end to the season, as shown by their results in the last five matches: three wins and two draws, no losses but inconsistent performances. The most recent success came last weekend when Cádiz crushed Huesca 4-0. During this five-game streak, the team averaged 1.8 goals scored per match and 1.2 conceded, keeping two clean sheets.
Overall, Cádiz has collected 55 points in 41 matches, with 14 wins, 13 draws, and 14 losses, scoring an average of 1.32 goals and conceding 1.24.
Their away form has been a weakness: only 21 points collected on the road, with a record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses. The team has not won away in five matches, with four defeats and one draw in that period. The last away victory dates back to March 9th, when Cádiz defeated Malaga 2-0 at La Rosaleda with goals from Melendo and José Matos.
According to the BetMines algorithm, the Real Oviedo vs Cádiz prediction foresees a tactical and fairly balanced game, with the home team favored to win but with few goals overall.
Real Oviedo, which has shown consistent home scoring throughout the season, has scored more than one goal only twice in 2025. Moreover, the Asturian defense is in great shape, unbeaten in their last three home games, increasing the chances that the match will stay under 2.5 goals.
The recent head-to-head record also suggests a low-scoring match: seven of the last ten meetings ended with “Under 2.5 goals,” including the first leg, which finished 2-0 to Cádiz — a result that repeated in the two previous clashes.
Real Oviedo will look for the win to keep their direct promotion hopes alive but will do so cautiously, avoiding exposure to Cádiz’s dangerous counterattacks, especially the initiatives of Álex Fernández, who has scored 7 goals this season.
Given the excellent recent defensive form of Real Oviedo (unbeaten in three home matches), the Real Oviedo vs Cádiz prediction anticipates fewer than three goals overall, with the home side favored to win.
REAL OVIEDO (4-2-3-1): Escandell; Vidal, Costas, Calvo, Alhassane; Hoz, Colombatto; Hassan, Cazorla, Portillo; Alemao. Coach: Valjko Paunovic.
CÁDIZ (3-4-3): Caro; Chust, Kovacevic, Recio; Rosa, Álex Fernández, Diakité, Climent; Melendo, Carlos Fernández, Sobrino. Coach: Gaizka Garitano.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Oviedo
Cádiz
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0