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Prediction published on Oct 2, 2025 1:02 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Oct 2, 2025 1:04 PM
Real Oviedo and Levante face off in a crucial La Liga clash at the Carlos Tartiere, with both sides looking to climb away from the lower part of the table. The Asturian side comes into this fixture with renewed confidence after a vital 1-2 victory at Mestalla against Valencia, while Levante arrive following a 1-1 draw against Getafe. With just one point separating them in the standings, this encounter has all the ingredients of a direct battle for survival.
Real Oviedo currently sit 14th in La Liga with 6 points, having registered 2 wins and 5 defeats in their opening seven matches. Their campaign began with heavy losses against Villarreal (2-0) and Real Madrid (0-3), but they managed to secure their first victory at home against Real Sociedad (1-0). A difficult run followed with defeats to Getafe (2-0), Elche (1-0), and Barcelona (1-3). However, their recent triumph at Valencia (1-2) has lifted morale and kept them outside the relegation zone.
Statistically, Oviedo have struggled in attack, averaging just 0.6 goals scored per game, while conceding 1.7 goals per match. Their last five outings show 2 wins and 3 defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. A notable trend is that under 3.5 goals have been scored in 31 of their last 32 matches, underlining their tendency to be involved in low-scoring encounters. Another key pattern is their vulnerability in the first half, having lost at half time in 7 of their last 10 matches.
At the Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo will look to capitalize on home advantage. Historically, they have fared well against Levante at this venue, winning three of their last four meetings here. Coach Veljko Paunovic will be without Nacho Vidal, Álvaro Lemos, and suspended Luka Ilic, while Ejaria remains doubtful. The expected lineup is a 4-2-3-1 with Escandell in goal, a backline of Alhassane, Carmo, Calvo, and Ahijado, midfield protection from Colombatto and Dendoncker, and an attacking quartet of Brekalo, Reina, Hassa, and Rondón leading the line.
Levante sit just behind Oviedo in 15th place with 5 points, having recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 defeats. Their season began with a 2-1 loss at Alavés, followed by a narrow 2-3 defeat to Barcelona. They then fell to Elche (2-0), but bounced back with a 2-2 draw against Betis and an emphatic 0-4 away win at Girona. However, they were outclassed by Real Madrid (1-4) before earning a point against Getafe (1-1) in their most recent outing.
Levante’s attacking numbers are stronger than Oviedo’s, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game, but their defense has been leaky, conceding 2.0 goals per match. In their last five games, they have managed 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. A striking trend is their consistency in producing goals: over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 22 matches, and over 0.5 goals in the second half in 20 of their last 22.
Coach Julián Calero has no injury concerns and is expected to field his preferred 4-4-2 formation. Likely starters include Mathew Ryan in goal, a defensive line of Manu Sánchez, Moreno, De la Fuente, and Toljan, with Brugui, Vencedor, Arriaga, and Carlos Álvarez in midfield, and Romer alongside Etta Eyong in attack. Levante’s away form has been encouraging, with four of their five points this season earned on the road, including the impressive win at Girona.
This fixture is shaping up to be a tense and balanced contest between two sides fighting to avoid being dragged into the relegation battle. Real Oviedo will rely on their home advantage and the momentum from their victory at Valencia, but fatigue could be a factor after playing midweek. Levante, meanwhile, have shown they can score goals, but their defensive frailties remain a concern, especially against a motivated Oviedo side.
Historically, this matchup has been tight, with Oviedo holding a slight edge in recent head-to-heads (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat). Their last meeting ended 1-0 in April 2025. Given Oviedo’s defensive style and Levante’s attacking intent, this game could see both teams finding the net, but it is unlikely to be a high-scoring affair. The key battle will be whether Oviedo can contain Levante’s forwards while making the most of their own limited chances.
REAL OVIEDO (4-2-3-1): Escandell; Alhassane, Carmo, Calvo, Ahijado; Colombatto, Dendoncker; Brekalo, Reina, Hassa; Rondón. Coach: V. Paunovic
LEVANTE (4-4-2): Ryan; Manu Sánchez, Moreno, De la Fuente, Toljan; Brugui, Vencedor, Arriaga, Carlos Álvarez; Romer, Etta Eyong. Coach: J. Calero
Real Oviedo vs Levante prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Oviedo
Levante
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
9
1
6
4