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Prediction published on Dec 19, 2025 4:03 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Dec 19, 2025 4:03 PM
The upcoming clash between Real Sociedad B and AD Ceuta promises to be a tightly contested encounter as both sides close out their 2025 campaigns in La Liga 2. The Basque outfit sit 16th in the table, just above the relegation zone, while the visitors from Ceuta occupy 9th place, only two points shy of the playoff positions. With contrasting objectives and styles, this fixture at Anoeta could play a crucial role in shaping the second half of their seasons.
Real Sociedad B approach this match with renewed confidence after a convincing 0-3 victory away to Deportivo La Coruña on December 13. That result ended a run of inconsistent performances, as their last five games have produced two wins and three defeats. Over the course of the season, they have recorded six wins, three draws, and nine losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
At home, the Donostiarras have been particularly strong, collecting 18 of their 21 total points at Anoeta. Their attacking output in front of their fans has been impressive, with 15 goals scored so far. Moreover, they have not lost at half time in their last 20 home matches, and have led at the break in nine of their last 14. These numbers underline their ability to start games strongly and maintain control early on.
Despite their solid home form, defensive lapses have occasionally cost them points. They have conceded 26 goals this season, matching their total scored, which highlights both their attacking potential and defensive vulnerability. Still, with players like Gorka Carrera—currently among the league’s top scorers with seven goals—the team has enough firepower to trouble any opponent.
AD Ceuta have been one of the pleasant surprises of the season, sitting comfortably in mid-table with 26 points. Their campaign has been built on discipline and efficiency, particularly at home, though their away form remains a concern. They rank 20th in the away table, a statistic that could weigh heavily in this fixture.
In their most recent outing, Ceuta drew 1-1 against Las Palmas on December 14, extending their run to one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five matches. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals and conceded the same number during that stretch, reflecting their preference for low-scoring, tightly managed games. Over the season, they have six wins, six draws, and six losses, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match.
Ceuta’s matches have consistently featured few goals: under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 13 games, including their last 12 in La Liga 2. Away from home, they have struggled to impose themselves early, losing at half time in seven of their last eleven away fixtures. Their conservative approach often keeps them competitive but limits their attacking output, which could be problematic against a side as proactive as Real Sociedad B.
This encounter brings together two teams with very different strengths. Real Sociedad B rely on their attacking rhythm and home advantage, while Ceuta focus on defensive solidity and efficiency. The Basque side’s ability to dominate possession and create chances at Anoeta contrasts with Ceuta’s pragmatic approach, which often leads to narrow scorelines.
Given the statistics, the match is likely to feature a cautious start, with Real Sociedad B looking to capitalize on their strong first-half record. Ceuta, on the other hand, will aim to frustrate their hosts and exploit counterattacking opportunities. The visitors’ tendency to keep games under control suggests that goals may be limited, but the home side’s offensive momentum could tilt the balance in their favor.
Both teams have clear motivations: Real Sociedad B need points to move away from the relegation zone, while Ceuta want to stay within reach of the playoff spots. The combination of these objectives should make for an intense and competitive fixture, even if the scoreline remains tight.
Based on the latest data and performance trends, the BetMines prediction for this match favors the Under 2.5 goals market, with a 60% probability. Both teams have shown a tendency toward low-scoring games, and Ceuta’s recent record strongly supports this outcome. While Real Sociedad B’s home advantage could give them a slight edge, the overall expectation is for a balanced contest with limited goal action.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Sociedad II
Ceuta
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
5
5
5
5
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1