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Prediction published on Jan 28, 2026 8:05 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga 2 | Modified on Jan 28, 2026 8:05 PM
The upcoming clash between Real Sociedad B and Las Palmas opens the twenty-fourth round of LaLiga Hypermotion. The match promises to be an intriguing duel between two sides living very different realities in the current campaign. While the Basque reserve team is fighting to escape the lower part of the table, the Canarian visitors are chasing promotion to the top flight. Both teams come into this fixture after suffering defeats in their previous outings, and the pressure to bounce back will be intense on both benches.
Real Sociedad B arrive at this match after a 2-0 defeat against Leganés on January 24, a result that extended their winless streak to five league games. During this period, they have collected three draws and two losses, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per match while conceding 1.4. These numbers reflect the difficulties the team has faced in both ends of the pitch, struggling to convert chances and to maintain defensive solidity.
Over the course of the season, the “Sanse” have recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Despite their current position in 19th place, one encouraging statistic stands out: they have not lost at half time in their last 20 home matches. This resilience in the first 45 minutes could be a key factor in their attempt to frustrate a strong opponent like Las Palmas.
Playing at Zubieta, Real Sociedad B will aim to rediscover their attacking rhythm and take advantage of their home consistency in the early stages of matches. However, their lack of victories in recent weeks underlines the need for a more clinical approach in front of goal.
Las Palmas travel to the Basque Country after a 1-2 home defeat against Córdoba on January 24. That setback marked their second consecutive loss, a worrying trend for a team that had been competing for the top positions. Despite these recent results, the Canarians remain in 4th place with 38 points, just one point away from the second spot that grants direct promotion to LaLiga.
Throughout the season, Las Palmas have shown a solid record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 5 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded per match. Their defensive structure has been one of the most reliable in the division, although recent lapses have cost them valuable points. In their last five matches, they have achieved two wins, one draw, and two defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded — figures that suggest a more open style of play in recent weeks.
Las Palmas have also been involved in low-scoring first halves, with under 1.5 goals recorded in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. This trend suggests a cautious approach early in games, focusing on control and defensive balance before pushing forward in the second half. Their challenge will be to break down a Real Sociedad B side that, despite its struggles, tends to stay competitive at home.
In recent meetings between these two sides, Las Palmas have had the upper hand. The last head-to-head ended 2-1 on September 12, 2025, and overall, Real Sociedad B have failed to win any of their last three encounters, with one draw and two defeats. The Basques have averaged just 0.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in these matches, highlighting the visitors’ historical advantage.
From a tactical perspective, the match could follow a familiar pattern: Real Sociedad B will likely rely on compact defending and quick transitions, while Las Palmas may dominate possession and look to exploit spaces in the final third. Given the visitors’ superior league position and more balanced squad, they enter this fixture as slight favorites. However, the hosts’ resilience at home, especially in the first half, could make this a tighter contest than the table suggests.
Both teams have shown contrasting trends in goal production — Real Sociedad B’s matches often feature fewer goals, while Las Palmas have recently been involved in higher-scoring affairs. The balance between these tendencies could determine whether the game turns into a tactical battle or an open contest.
Considering current form, league positions, and statistical indicators, Las Palmas appear better equipped to secure a positive result. Their defensive consistency and attacking efficiency give them a slight edge over a Real Sociedad B side struggling to find momentum. Nevertheless, the hosts’ ability to stay unbeaten at half time in their last 20 home games suggests that the first period could remain balanced before the visitors’ quality makes the difference.
Real Sociedad B vs Las Palmas prediction by BetMines:
Las Palmas win (2) with a probability of 37%. The draw (X) stands at 27%, while a home win (1) is estimated at 36%. Given the narrow margins, a competitive encounter is expected, but the visitors’ promotion ambitions may ultimately prevail.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Sociedad II
Las Palmas
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
5
5
0
10
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1