Tools
Real Sociedad
3 - 3
FT
Deportivo Alavés
Prediction published on Apr 9, 2026 1:04 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Apr 9, 2026 1:04 PM
The Basque derby at Anoeta promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of the weekend, as Real Sociedad host Deportivo Alavés in a clash between two sides living very different moments in La Liga. The home team are enjoying a strong campaign, fighting for European qualification and still riding the momentum of their Copa del Rey run, while the visitors remain focused on securing safety in the top flight. With the atmosphere of Anoeta and the stakes on both ends of the table, this encounter carries both emotional and competitive weight.
Real Sociedad approach this derby in good shape, having collected three wins in their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent 2-0 victory over Levante on April 4 confirmed their solid form, and they have been consistent in front of goal, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in that period. Over the entire season, their La Liga record stands at 11 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Their attacking consistency is remarkable: at least one goal has been scored by Real Sociedad in each of their last 20 matches, including all of their last 15 league fixtures. Anoeta has been a reliable fortress, with goals in all of their last 13 home games. Moreover, over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 home league matches, and they have led at half time in 7 of their last 11 home appearances. These trends underline a team that starts strong and maintains pressure throughout the match.
Despite a few absences due to injuries and suspensions, the home side’s depth and attacking rhythm make them a dangerous opponent. Their recent performances in both league and cup competitions show a team capable of adapting to different challenges while maintaining offensive balance. Playing at Anoeta, where they tend to dominate possession and create multiple scoring chances, Real Sociedad will look to impose their tempo early on.
Deportivo Alavés arrive in San Sebastián with a more modest record but renewed confidence after a 2-2 draw against Osasuna on April 5. Over their last five matches, they have registered one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Their season record in La Liga stands at 8 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
While their attack has shown flashes of improvement, defensive fragility remains a concern. Alavés have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 15 league matches and in their last 13 away games. However, their matches have been entertaining, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 11 league fixtures. The team’s resilience has been evident in recent weeks, managing to stay unbeaten in three consecutive matches before this trip, which helped them climb to 15th place in the standings, three points above the relegation zone.
Although their away form has been inconsistent, Alavés have shown they can surprise stronger opponents, as seen in their recent 3-4 win in Vigo. Their challenge at Anoeta will be to maintain defensive discipline while exploiting counterattacking opportunities. The absence of key defensive players could make this task even more difficult, especially against a side that thrives on home momentum.
This Basque derby brings together two teams with contrasting ambitions but a shared sense of pride. Real Sociedad will look to dominate possession and use their attacking width to stretch the visitors’ defense, while Deportivo Alavés are expected to rely on compact defending and quick transitions. The home side’s offensive consistency and strong record at Anoeta suggest they have the upper hand, but Alavés’s recent scoring form could make this a more open contest than expected.
Historically, Real Sociedad have enjoyed success in this fixture, and their current momentum in both league and cup competitions reinforces their status as favorites. The visitors, however, have proven capable of scoring even against stronger teams, which could lead to an entertaining match with goals on both ends. Given the attacking trends of both sides and their recent defensive records, another high-scoring encounter seems likely.
Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alavés prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 55% probability.
REAL SOCIEDAD (probable XI): Remiro; Aramburu, Caleta-Car, Aritz, Sergio Gómez; Turrientes, Soler, Sucic; Guedes, Oyarzabal, Barrenetxea.
DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS (probable XI): Sivera; Jonny, Tenaglia, Parada, Yusi; Ángel Pérez, Antonio Blanco, Pablo Ibáñez, Guridi; Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3