Tools
Prediction published on Dec 10, 2025 10:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Dec 10, 2025 10:01 PM
The upcoming La Liga fixture between Real Sociedad and Girona opens a new matchday with both sides desperate to return to winning ways. The Basque team have suffered two consecutive defeats, while the Catalans have gone three games without a victory and are still searching for their first away win of the season. With both clubs under pressure, this encounter at the Reale Arena promises to be a tense and decisive battle for much-needed points.
Real Sociedad currently sit 14th in La Liga with 16 points from 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats. After a promising run of five unbeaten matches that included three victories and two draws, the team have slipped again with back-to-back losses. Their latest setback came in a narrow 1-0 defeat to Deportivo Alavés on December 6, which halted their earlier momentum.
In their last five outings, the Basques have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, they have averaged 1.3 goals per match while allowing 1.5. Defensive fragility remains a concern, as they have conceded at least one goal in 26 of their last 28 league matches. Moreover, they have trailed at half-time in their last three La Liga fixtures, a trend that coach Imanol Alguacil will be eager to reverse.
Despite these issues, Real Sociedad’s home form and the support of the Reale Arena crowd could prove decisive. Their recent performances in San Sebastián have shown flashes of the attacking quality that once made them a top-six contender. Injuries, however, continue to complicate matters. Iñaki Ruipérez is ruled out, while Oyarzabal, Zubeldia, Yangel Herrera, and Oskarsson remain doubtful. The likely starting eleven could feature Remiro in goal; Aramburu, Martín, Elustondo, and Sergio Gómez in defense; Gorrotxategi anchoring midfield; with Kubo, Brais, Soler, and Barrenetxea supporting Sadiq up front.
Girona find themselves in a far more precarious position, sitting 18th in the table with just 12 points. Their record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats reflects a team struggling to rediscover the spark that once made them one of La Liga’s most entertaining sides. The Catalans’ most recent outing ended in a heavy 3-0 loss to Elche on December 7, a result that exposed their defensive vulnerabilities and halted a brief period of improvement.
Over their last five matches, Girona have managed 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 1.4. Their season-long averages of 0.9 goals scored and 1.9 conceded underline the imbalance between attack and defense. Away from home, the team have struggled to impose themselves, though their matches tend to produce goals: there have been Over 1.5 goals in each of their last ten away fixtures, and at least one goal in the second half in 17 consecutive away league games.
Manager Míchel faces a daunting injury list, with Abel Ruiz, Cristhian Stuani, Cristian Portu, Krapyvtsov, Donny van de Beek, David López, Juan Carlos Martín, and Artero all unavailable. The expected lineup could include Gazzaniga in goal; Arnau, Vitor Reis, Blind, and Moreno at the back; Martín and Witsel in midfield; with Tsygankov, Ounahi, and Bryan Gil supporting Vanat as the lone striker. Despite their injury woes, Girona will look to exploit any defensive lapses from their hosts and rely on their counterattacking pace.
Both teams enter this clash below expectations, but the dynamics differ. Real Sociedad remain just above the relegation zone, while Girona are currently in it. The Basques have shown more consistency at home, and their attacking options, led by Kubo and Sadiq, could be decisive against a Girona defense that has conceded heavily in recent weeks. The visitors, meanwhile, must find a way to tighten their back line and rediscover the creativity that once defined their play under Míchel.
Historically, this fixture has favored Real Sociedad, who are unbeaten in their last five meetings with Girona (2 wins, 3 draws). Their most recent encounter ended in a 3-2 victory for the Basques in May 2025, a result that underlines their attacking potential at home. Given the current form and the injury situation of the visitors, the home side appear better positioned to claim all three points.
Probable Lineups Real Sociedad vs Girona
REAL SOCIEDAD (4-2-3-1): Remiro; Aramburu, Martín, Elustondo, Sergio Gómez; Gorrotxategi; Kubo, Brais, Soler, Barrenetxea; Sadiq. Coach: I. Alguacil
GIRONA (4-2-3-1): Gazzaniga; Arnau, Vitor Reis, Blind, Moreno; Martín, Witsel; Tsygankov, Ounahi, Bryan Gil; Vanat. Coach: Míchel
The most likely outcome is a Real Sociedad win (1) with a 49% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while a Girona win (2) stands at 25%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Sociedad
Girona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
7
3
5
5
4.5
8
2
7
3