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Prediction published on Mar 4, 2025 12:14 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Mar 4, 2025 2:34 PM
At the Reale Arena in San Sebastian, Manchester United faces Real Sociedad in a crucial match that could give meaning to what has otherwise been a disappointing season. The Red Devils are enduring one of their worst campaigns in recent history, sitting 14th in the Premier League and having been eliminated from the FA Cup by Fulham last weekend. As a result, Amorim’s squad now has a single remaining objective: the UEFA Europa League. So far, they have performed well in the competition, securing direct qualification to the Round of 16 after finishing third in their group, behind Lazio and Athletic Bilbao. On the other hand, Real Sociedad had to go through the Europa League playoff round, as they finished 13th in the group stage rankings. Their playoff opponent was a rather manageable one: Danish side Midtjylland, whom they comfortably defeated 7-3 on aggregate. Outside of European competition, however, Alguacil’s team has been struggling. They currently sit 9th in La Liga, with slim hopes of reaching sixth place, and are on the verge of exiting the Copa del Rey, having lost the semi-final first leg at home to Real Madrid. For the Basques, this Round of 16 tie represents their last big chance to give fans something to cheer about this season.
Real Sociedad enters this match after two consecutive defeats: 1-0 against Real Madrid and 4-0 against Barcelona. Playing at home could be an advantage, as they have won 7 of their last 10 matches at the Reale Arena (with 2 losses and 1 draw).
In this season’s Europa League, the Basques have secured 9 of their 13 total points at home (3 wins, 1 loss), scoring 8 goals in the process—13 goals if the playoff match against Midtjylland is included. Notably, Real Sociedad has scored in all 10 Europa League matches played this season.
Manchester United’s last five matches across all competitions have resulted in 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. In the new Europa League format, they were the only unbeaten team in the group stage, with 5 wins and 3 draws.
Away from Old Trafford, they have recorded 2 wins and 2 draws in UEL, averaging 2 goals scored per match and conceding 1.25 goals. The top scorer in the competition for the Red Devils is former Atalanta striker Rasmus Hojlund, with 5 goals.
Since Real Sociedad will have to play the second leg at Old Trafford, they will likely try to take control of the match from the start to put pressure on Manchester United’s defense, which has shown weaknesses this season.
The Basques' main strengths lie in the speed of their wingers, particularly Japanese international Takefusa Kubo, as well as the international experience of key players such as Martin Zubimendi and Mikel Oyarzabal, both of whom were part of Spain’s European Championship-winning squad last summer.
For Manchester United, manager Ruben Amorim will rely on his captain and playmaker Bruno Fernandes, the team's most decisive player with 11 goals and 13 assists this season. If Fernandes can create opportunities, the Red Devils have a strong chance of scoring at least once, which would give them an advantage heading into the return leg.
As both teams will push for a win in what looks to be a balanced match, the BetMines algorithm prediction for Real Sociedad vs Manchester United suggests that both teams will score at least once.
Real Sociedad (4-1-4-1): Remiro; Aramburu, Zubeldia, Elustondo, J. Lopez; Zubimendi; Kubo, Olasagasti, Pablo Marin, S. Gomez; Oyarzabal. Coach: Alguacil
Manchester United (3-4-2-1): Onana; Yoro, De Ligt, Maguire; Mazraoui, Casemiro, Ugarte, Dorgu; B. Fernandes, Garnacho; Hojlund. Coach: Amorim
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Sociedad
Manchester United
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
7
3
8
2