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Real Sociedad
5:45 PM
November 5, 2026
Olympique Lyonnais
Prediction published on Nov 3, 2026 6:05 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Nov 3, 2026 6:05 PM
Real Sociedad host Olympique Lyonnais at Anoeta Stadium in San Sebastián on Thursday, November 5, in a Europa League matchday-four meeting between two closely placed sides. Kick-off is scheduled for 17:45 local time. Sociedad sit 14th with four points from three matches, while Lyon are 12th with six. Both lost their matchday-three games? Not quite: Sociedad arrive after a commanding European win, whereas Lyon need a response to an away defeat in the competition. Their contrasting results set up an intriguing fixture, with the hosts looking to build on their attacking form and the visitors seeking greater consistency on the road.
Real Sociedad lost 2-1 to Athletic Club on November 1, ending a run of six matches without defeat across competitions. Their last five games have produced three wins, one draw and one loss, with averages of 3.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The defeat leaves them with a quick turnaround before returning to Europa League action, but their recent scoring figures offer encouragement.
In Europe, Sociedad have recorded one win, one draw and one defeat so far, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their draw came away to Royale Union on matchday two, before a 6-0 away win over Lillestrom on matchday three. The broader Europa League record also points to a reliable attack: Sociedad have scored at least once in each of their last 15 matches in the competition, and all 15 featured more than 1.5 total goals.
Home fixtures have offered plenty of goalmouth activity, too. Five of Sociedad's last six competitive matches at home have contained at least three goals, while each of their last 10 matches overall has featured more than 1.5 total goals. They have also led at half-time in six of their last 10 games. Those trends make their recent defeat less representative of the attacking form they bring into this fixture, though Lyon's results show the visitors have the ability to contribute goals of their own.
Olympique Lyonnais returned to winning ways with a 2-0 victory over Angers SCO on November 1, bringing a two-match losing sequence to an end. Across their last five games, they have three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Their Europa League record stands at two wins and one loss, enough to place them two points ahead of Sociedad before this meeting.
Lyon's European results illustrate both their scoring potential and their vulnerability. They beat Crystal Palace 3-2 and won 2-1 away at Anderlecht, but suffered a 3-0 defeat at Hoffenheim on matchday three. Their Europa League averages are 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. The loss at Hoffenheim is part of a run of three consecutive away defeats, making their response outside home particularly important against a Sociedad side with strong recent scoring figures.
Goals have been a frequent feature of Lyon's matches: 21 of their last 22 have produced more than 1.5 total goals, and 20 of those 22 have featured at least one second-half goal. There is a limit to the away-goals trend, however, as each of Lyon's last 13 away fixtures has finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals. That record does not rule out another lively contest, but it suggests caution when weighing Sociedad's high-scoring home results against Lyon's more restrained away scorelines.
The teams enter this Europa League fixture from different positions but with little separating them in the standings. Sociedad's 6-0 win on matchday three and their scoring streak in the competition give the hosts a clear attacking case. Lyon have won two of their three European games, including a 3-2 result against Crystal Palace, yet their defeat at Hoffenheim and recent away losses leave them with something to prove on this trip.
The goal trends provide the strongest thread for a Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais preview. Sociedad have seen at least three goals in five of their last six competitive home matches, and both clubs have regularly played in fixtures with more than 1.5 total goals. Lyon's run of away games under 3.5 goals tempers expectations of an exceptionally high score, but a match reaching three goals remains consistent with Sociedad's recent home record. The supplied head-to-head summary is evenly split at two wins apiece, so recent results and scoring patterns offer a more useful guide to this meeting.
Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Sociedad
Olympique Lyonnais
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
1
9
3
7
3.5
5
5
7
3
4.5
5
5
9
1