The Copa del Rey round of 16 brings an intriguing clash between two top-flight sides as Real Sociedad host Osasuna at Anoeta. Both teams have experienced uneven campaigns so far, but this single-leg tie offers a fresh opportunity to regain momentum and move closer to silverware. The home side arrive with renewed confidence after a managerial change, while the visitors continue to struggle away from home, particularly in front of goal.

Real Sociedad’s Recent Form and Key Stats

After a difficult start to the season, Real Sociedad have shown signs of recovery under their new coach. The Basque side recently held Atlético to a 1-1 draw at home and followed it up with a dramatic 1-2 victory away at Getafe. These results have boosted morale ahead of this crucial cup fixture. In the Copa del Rey, their record has been impeccable so far, with 3 wins from 3 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and conceding just 0.3 per game.

Across their last five matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding 1.2. Their defensive consistency has been notable, especially in the first halves of matches: under 1.5 goals have been scored before the break in each of their last ten games, and they have avoided losing at half time in 21 of their last 22 Copa del Rey fixtures. Furthermore, they have led at the interval in 6 of their last 10 home cup games, underlining their ability to start strongly at Anoeta.

In terms of recent head-to-heads, Real Sociedad’s last meeting with Osasuna ended in a 1-3 defeat back in November 2025, but the overall record between the two sides remains balanced, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five encounters. The team’s improved form and home advantage could prove decisive this time around.

Osasuna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Osasuna approach this tie with mixed results and a worrying away record. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 defeat to Girona, continuing a trend of inconsistency that has seen them win just once in their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats). During that stretch, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded per game. In the Copa del Rey, however, their performances have been more encouraging, with 2 wins and 1 draw from three matches, scoring an impressive 3.7 goals per game while allowing 1.3.

Despite their attacking potential in cup competitions, Osasuna’s away form in the league has been poor. They have failed to score in 8 of their 10 away matches this season, a statistic that raises concerns ahead of their visit to Anoeta. The team currently sit closer to the relegation zone than to European qualification spots, and their inability to find the net on the road remains their biggest obstacle.

Historically, Osasuna have managed to trouble Real Sociedad on occasion, but their current form suggests they will need a near-perfect performance to advance. Their defensive structure will be tested against a home side that thrives on possession and quick transitions.

Match Analysis and Tactical Overview

This Copa del Rey encounter promises to be a tactical battle between two sides with contrasting strengths. Real Sociedad will look to dominate possession and exploit spaces through their creative midfielders, while Osasuna are expected to rely on compact defending and counter-attacks. The home side’s recent improvement under their new manager has brought renewed energy and discipline, particularly in their defensive transitions.

Given the single-leg format of the tie, the home advantage could play a crucial role. Anoeta has traditionally been a difficult ground for visiting teams, and with Osasuna’s struggles away from home, the odds appear to favor the hosts. Real Sociedad’s ability to control the tempo and maintain composure in key moments could be the difference-maker.

Osasuna, on the other hand, will need to rediscover their attacking efficiency from earlier cup rounds if they are to stand a chance. Their recent lack of goals on the road is a major concern, and unless they can break that pattern, progression to the quarter-finals will be a tall order.

Probable Lineups Real Sociedad vs Osasuna

REAL SOCIEDAD: Remiro; Caleta-Car, Jon Martín, Aramburu; Sergio Gómez, Turrientes, Soler, Brais Méndez; Guedes, Take Kubo, Oyarzabal.
OSASUNA: Sergio Herrera; Herrando, Catena, Rosier, Abel Bretones; L. Torró, Moncayola, Aimar Oroz, Rubén García; Victor Muñoz, Budimir.

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna Prediction

All signs point toward a competitive but controlled match, with Real Sociedad expected to make the most of their home advantage and superior recent form. Osasuna’s poor away record and lack of cutting edge in front of goal could once again prove costly. The hosts have shown resilience and tactical improvement since their managerial change, and their strong record in the Copa del Rey further supports their case.

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 45% probability.