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Prediction published on May 10, 2025 7:48 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 12, 2025 10:49 AM
At the José Zorrilla Stadium, the midweek Matchday 36 of La Liga kicks off on Tuesday, April 13, with relegated Real Valladolid hosting Girona, who are still fighting for safety. The hosts are rock bottom of the table with just 16 points. The numbers for the Castilian side are dire: nine consecutive defeats, the worst attack and defense in the league, 27 losses and just 4 wins from 35 games. In the last round, they showed some resilience by taking the lead away to Mallorca—who are chasing a European spot—before being pegged back and losing once again. With only three matches left in the season, it's clear that Valladolid will use the remaining fixtures against Girona, Alavés, and Leganés to evaluate who might be useful next season as they look to bounce back to the top flight after just one year in the second division. Girona, on the other hand, cannot afford to look ahead to next season just yet. They travel to José Zorrilla with a single goal: taking all three points. Michel’s side are coming off a 1-0 loss to Villarreal, and another slip-up could be costly. A win here would bring them significantly closer to securing their La Liga status. Once that’s assured, they can reflect on a disappointing season—especially after last year’s surprise third-place finish. Few expected Girona to replicate that form, but even fewer thought they’d be battling relegation down to the wire.
Real Valladolid suffered a 2-1 loss at Mallorca in their last La Liga match, their ninth straight defeat in the league and their 27th overall. Rubio’s men did manage to take the lead through Chuki’s second goal in three games, but were ultimately undone by goals from Mascarell and Darder. In their last five La Liga matches—all losses—the Blanquivioletas have conceded an average of 2.74 goals per game while scoring just 0.74.
Rubio’s side holds the worst attack in La Liga (26 goals scored) and the worst defense (85 goals conceded in 35 games). At home, they’ve collected only 13 points from 17 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 10 losses). In 2025, they’ve earned just 4 points from 8 home games, with one win (on January 11), one draw, and six defeats. They’re currently on a run of four consecutive home losses against Celta Vigo, Getafe, Osasuna, and Barcelona.
Girona are coming off a 1-0 defeat at Villarreal, who are chasing fifth place. However, in the two rounds prior, they picked up four points: a 1-1 draw with Leganés and a 1-0 win over Mallorca. In their last five matches, their record is 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (averaging 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game).
Overall, Girona’s season has been underwhelming. They've collected just 38 points from 10 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, with averages of 1.17 goals scored and 1.51 conceded per match. Away from home, they haven’t won since January 11 (0-1 at Alavés). Since then, they’ve drawn 2 (Espanyol and Leganés) and lost 5 of their last 7 away games.
In terms of motivation, Valladolid have long since been relegated to the Segunda División and show little intent of finishing strong, suffering nine consecutive losses and going 16 games without a win, conceding in every single one.
Girona, meanwhile, have everything to play for. A win here would be a huge step toward safety, allowing them to face Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid with less pressure. Expect the Catalans to lean heavily once again on Cristhian Stuani, who has scored three goals in his last four games.
Head-to-head stats also favor Girona, who have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five meetings with Valladolid. The reverse fixture, played in December, ended 3-0 in favor of Michel’s team, with goals from López, Ruiz, and Danjuma.
Considering all factors, the Real Valladolid vs Girona prediction from the BetMines algorithm leans clearly toward a comfortable away win.
REAL VALLADOLID (4-5-1): Ferreira; Perez, Candela, Ozkacar, Aznou; Chuky, Nikitscher, Comert, Amallah, Moro; Sylla. Coach: Rubio
GIRONA (4-3-3): Gazzaniga; A Martinez, D Lopez, Krejci, Blind; Martin, Arthur, Herrera; Asprilla, Stuani, Portu. Coach: Michel
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Real Valladolid
Girona
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
4
6
2.5
7
3
7
3
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
9
1
9
1