The clash between Red Star and Le Mans FC promises to be one of the most balanced fixtures of the 25th round in Ligue 2. Scheduled for Saturday at 14:00, this encounter at Stade Bauer brings together two sides fighting for promotion. The home team, once firmly positioned among the top contenders, has recently hit a rough patch, while the visitors continue to surprise many with their consistency and resilience in their first season back in the second tier.

Red Star’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Red Star approach this match looking to bounce back after a 2-1 defeat away to Annecy on February 20, 2026. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with only one victory in their last five league outings (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats). During this period, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, showing some defensive fragility that has cost them valuable points.

Across the season, Red Star’s record stands at 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Despite their recent dip, the team remains competitive, currently sitting 6th in Ligue 2. Their home performances have often been decisive, and they will rely on that advantage to regain momentum. Interestingly, only 2 of their last 10 matches have finished with under 0.5 total goals, suggesting that their games tend to produce scoring opportunities.

• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.8 per match


• Head-to-head vs Le Mans: unbeaten in 5 (2 wins, 3 draws)

Le Mans FC’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Le Mans FC continue to impress in their return to Ligue 2. Despite being newly promoted, they have shown remarkable consistency, losing just once in their last 19 league matches. Their latest result, a 1-1 draw against Guingamp on February 23, 2026, extended their solid run, even if victories have been harder to come by recently. Over their last five fixtures, they share the same record as Red Star — 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats — with identical averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.

Over the course of the season, Le Mans have collected 10 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 1.3 goals per game and conceding 1.0. Their defensive discipline has been a key factor in their success, and they currently occupy 4th place in the standings, just ahead of Red Star on goal difference. Another notable trend is their resilience before the break — they haven’t trailed at half-time in their last 16 Ligue 2 matches and in 27 of their last 30 overall. Furthermore, their away matches tend to be lively, with over 1.5 goals scored in each of their last 13 away games.

• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.8 per match


• Unbeaten at half-time in 16 consecutive Ligue 2 matches


• Over 1.5 goals in last 13 away games

Red Star vs Le Mans FC Analysis and Prediction

This fixture brings together two teams with similar profiles and ambitions. Both have identical recent records and comparable attacking output, making this encounter particularly difficult to call. Historically, Red Star have had the upper hand in this matchup, remaining unbeaten in their last five head-to-head meetings with Le Mans (2 wins, 3 draws), including a goalless draw in their most recent clash on November 8, 2025.

However, current form slightly favors the visitors. Le Mans FC have proven extremely difficult to beat, with just one defeat in their last 19 league games. Their ability to stay composed and organized, especially in away fixtures, could once again make the difference. Meanwhile, Red Star’s recent defensive lapses and lack of consistency may hinder their chances of reclaiming a top-four spot this weekend.

Given the balance between the two sides, a tight and competitive match is expected, possibly with both teams finding the net. The statistics suggest a moderate goal output, as both sides average around 1.3 goals scored per game this season. With such parity, the visitors’ resilience could be the decisive factor.

Red Star vs Le Mans FC prediction by BetMines:
Le Mans FC Double Chance (X2) – the visitors are tipped not to lose this match, continuing their impressive unbeaten streak in Ligue 2.