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Prediction published on Feb 4, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Feb 4, 2026 8:04 PM
The upcoming Ligue 2 clash between Red Star and Pau FC promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 22nd round. Scheduled for Friday evening at the Stade Bauer, this encounter brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions but similar recent inconsistencies. The home team remains in the promotion race, while the visitors are looking to build on their recent return to winning ways. Both clubs will be eager to make a statement as the season enters its decisive phase.
Red Star approach this match sitting fifth in the Ligue 2 standings, just outside the top two promotion spots. Despite a slight dip in form, with only one victory in their last five outings, the team has shown resilience by drawing three of those matches and losing just once. Their most recent result, a 1-1 draw against Rodez on January 30, highlighted both their attacking intent and defensive discipline.
Across the season, Red Star have recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their matches tend to be balanced, with only two of their last ten featuring fewer than 0.5 total goals. This consistency has kept them firmly in the promotion conversation. Playing at home, they will look to rediscover their winning touch and capitalize on their solid defensive record.
Historically, Red Star have struggled against Pau, winning only once in their last five meetings and losing four. The most recent head-to-head ended in a heavy 0-3 defeat back in September 2025. This time, however, the home advantage and the need to stay close to the top two could inspire a stronger performance.
Pau FC arrive in Paris with renewed confidence after a much-needed 0-1 victory away at Laval on January 30. That result ended a four-match winless streak and marked a positive start for their new coach, Thierry Debès. Currently 10th in the table, Pau have shown flashes of attacking quality but remain inconsistent defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game this season.
In their last five matches, Pau have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, scoring 1.6 goals per game while conceding two. Their matches tend to be open and entertaining, often featuring plenty of goalmouth action. Notably, over 0.5 goals at half-time have been scored in each of their last 11 Ligue 2 fixtures, and over 7.5 corners have been taken in 15 consecutive league games. These trends suggest that Pau’s matches rarely lack intensity or attacking opportunities.
While Pau’s away form has been unpredictable, their recent success on the road could boost morale ahead of this trip. Facing a promotion-chasing side like Red Star will be a real test of their defensive organization and attacking sharpness.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting objectives but similar attacking tendencies. Red Star will be determined to end their run of draws and keep pace with the promotion contenders, while Pau FC will aim to build on their recent win and climb closer to the top half of the table. Given both teams’ scoring records and defensive vulnerabilities, this match could produce goals at both ends.
Historically, encounters between these sides have been lively, with Pau often finding success in front of goal. However, Red Star’s home advantage and solid defensive numbers could balance the contest. Expect an open game with both teams pushing forward, especially in the second half, as they chase valuable points.
BetMines Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 50% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Red Star
Pau
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
7
3
8
2