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Prediction published on Oct 15, 2026 6:04 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Oct 15, 2026 6:04 PM
Red Star host Saint-Étienne on October 17 in a Ligue 2 meeting between the division’s top two teams. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 local time at Stade de Paris. Saint-Étienne lead the standings after eight matches, but second-placed Red Star are only two points behind and arrive on a five-game winning run. With both sides scoring freely in their recent fixtures, this match offers an important test of their form as well as their ambitions near the top of the table.
Red Star have won five successive matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game and conceding 1.0 across that run. Their latest result was a 3-2 victory over Clermont on October 10. The preceding wins listed in their recent sequence came against Stade Lavallois, FC Metz and EA Guingamp, giving Damien Perrinelle’s team momentum before they face the leaders.
Across eight Ligue 2 matches, Red Star have recorded five wins, two draws and one defeat. Their season averages stand at 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. The contrast between that overall scoring figure and their sharper output over the last five games shows why their current run deserves attention. Against Saint-Étienne, they will be looking to maintain the attacking form that has brought them within two points of first place.
Damien Durand has scored five goals, while Jovany Ikanga has contributed four goals and two assists. Saîf-Eddine Khaoui has one goal and one assist, and Islam Halifa has supplied two assists. Those contributions give Red Star several named sources of goals and chances rather than a single standout scorer. Pierre Lemonnier remains unavailable, while Gaëtan Poussin, Théo Magnin, Matthieu Huard and Elyaz Zidane are among the players mentioned in the home side’s defensive group.
Saint-Étienne enter this fixture in first place with a record of six wins, one draw and one defeat from eight Ligue 2 games. They opened the campaign with five consecutive victories before losing 2-1 to USL Dunkerque and drawing 2-2 with FC Metz. A 2-0 win over Rodez on October 10 put them back on a winning track ahead of their visit to Red Star.
Goals have been central to the visitors’ strong start. Saint-Étienne have scored 21 times in eight league matches, an average of 2.6 per game, while conceding an average of 1.0. Over their last five fixtures, their record is three wins, one draw and one defeat, with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. They have also led at half-time in six of their last 10 Ligue 2 matches, a statistic that underlines how often they have made an early impact.
Augustine Boakye has five goals and three assists, and Jakob Breum has provided two goals and four assists. Their output adds to the challenge facing a Red Star side that has conceded in several of the victories described in its recent run. Saint-Étienne do, however, have an absence in goal: Gautier Larsonneur is unavailable after an injury in the previous match, with Mamour Ndiaye expected to take his place. Mahmoud Jaber and Paul Eymard are not expected to return for this fixture, while Julien Le Cardinal is expected to be available after missing the previous weekend.
The gap between the teams is small, but their recent records give this contest a clear sense of occasion. Red Star have won their last five matches and can close the distance to the leaders with another positive result. Saint-Étienne, meanwhile, have taken six wins from their opening eight league games and come into the match with the stronger season-long scoring average. Neither side needs to rely on past meetings to make a case for its attacking threat: both have produced substantial goal returns in the current campaign.
There are reasons to expect chances at both ends without assuming that the match will follow a particular scoreline. Red Star have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in their last five games; Saint-Étienne’s corresponding figures are 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. The visitors’ 2-0 win over Rodez shows they can also keep a clean sheet, while Red Star’s 3-2 win at Clermont illustrates how open one of their recent victories became. With first place and second place meeting just two points apart, each team’s scoring form will be tested against an opponent enjoying a strong start.
Red Star vs Saint-Étienne prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Red Star
Saint-Étienne
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
6
4
3
7
4.5
8
2
7
3