The upcoming Serie B round features one of the most passionate derbies in Emilia-Romagna as Reggiana host Cesena on Saturday, January 17. The match promises intensity and emotion, with both teams eager to bounce back from recent struggles. Reggiana are currently 13th in the standings, while Cesena sit 6th, still within the playoff zone but under pressure after a dip in form. The home side desperately need a result to halt their losing streak, while the visitors aim to consolidate their position among the top six.

Reggiana’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Reggiana enter this derby in a difficult moment. Their last five matches have produced just one win and four defeats, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. The most recent setback came in a 1-3 loss against Venezia on January 10. Over the course of the season, Reggiana have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.5. These numbers highlight a team struggling to find balance, particularly in defense.

At home, the Granata will look to rediscover their fighting spirit in front of their fans. The derby atmosphere could provide the spark they need to end a negative run that has seen them slide dangerously close to the relegation zone. In their last ten league games, only two have featured fewer than 0.5 total goals, suggesting that while Reggiana often find the net, they also tend to leave spaces at the back.

• Ranking: 13th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 defeats


• Average goals: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded


• Last result: Lost 1-3 vs Venezia

Cesena’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Cesena approach this fixture from a slightly better position but are also going through a challenging period. They have collected one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their latest outing ended in a narrow 0-1 defeat to Empoli on January 10. Despite this, Cesena remain 6th in the table with 31 points, thanks to a solid first half of the season that keeps them in the playoff race.

Over the full campaign, Cesena’s record stands at 9 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Their defensive organization has been one of their strengths, but recent performances suggest some fatigue and inconsistency. A positive result in this derby would not only restore confidence but also prevent rivals from closing the gap in the standings.

• Ranking: 6th in Serie B


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats


• Average goals: 1.3 scored, 1.1 conceded


• Last result: Lost 0-1 vs Empoli

Head-to-Head and Match Outlook

The rivalry between Reggiana and Cesena has been balanced in recent years. In their last five meetings, both sides have won twice and drawn once, with an average of one goal scored and one conceded per team. The most recent encounter ended 1-2 in favor of Cesena on October 4, 2025. These numbers suggest that matches between the two are often tight and low-scoring affairs.

Given the current form of both teams, this derby is expected to be a physical and tactical battle rather than a high-scoring spectacle. Reggiana will likely focus on defensive solidity to avoid another defeat, while Cesena may rely on their experience and organization to control the tempo. Both sides are aware that losing this match could have significant consequences for their respective seasons, making caution the dominant theme.

• Head-to-head record: Reggiana 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses


• Last meeting: Reggiana 1-2 Cesena (October 2025)


• Average goals in H2H: 2.0 per match

Reggiana vs Cesena Prediction and Final Analysis

Everything points toward a balanced and hard-fought encounter. Both teams are struggling to find consistency, and their recent goal averages suggest that neither side is likely to dominate offensively. Reggiana’s defensive issues and Cesena’s recent scoring difficulties could lead to a cautious approach from both managers. The statistics also support a low-scoring outcome, with 53% probability for Under 2.5 goals and only 47% for Over 2.5.

In addition, the win probabilities indicate a slight advantage for Cesena, who have a 49% chance of victory compared to 25% for Reggiana and 26% for a draw. However, given the emotional weight of the derby and the home advantage, Reggiana will fight to make it a close contest. Expect a match defined by intensity, defensive duels, and few clear chances.

Reggiana vs Cesena prediction by BetMines:
Under 2.5 goals with 53% probability.