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Prediction published on May 7, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on May 7, 2026 8:04 PM
The final round of Ligue 2 brings an exciting clash between Reims and Pau FC, scheduled for Saturday evening. For the home side, this is a decisive fixture that could determine their fate in the race for promotion playoffs. After spending much of the season among the top five, Reims now find themselves in sixth place, two points behind the playoff zone. With only one match left, they must win to keep their hopes alive. Pau FC, on the other hand, approach this encounter without any pressure, sitting comfortably in ninth place and unable to reach the top positions. However, their recent form suggests they could still play a key role in shaping the final standings.
Reims have shown resilience in recent weeks, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches with one win and four draws. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against Le Mans on May 2, 2026. Despite the lack of victories, the team’s consistency has kept them in contention for the playoffs. Over the course of the season, Reims have recorded 13 wins, 14 draws, and 6 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. These numbers highlight a balanced side capable of both defending well and creating chances in attack.
At home, Reims have been particularly solid. They have not lost at half time in their last 13 home matches and have led at the break in 7 of their last 11 at the Auguste-Delaune. This strong first-half performance could be crucial in a match where early momentum might decide everything. Their defensive discipline has also been notable, with several low-scoring encounters — under 0.5 goals have been recorded in 5 of their last 12 Ligue 2 matches. The team’s ability to control the tempo and avoid early setbacks has been one of their key strengths throughout the campaign.
Given their current position, Reims will be fully motivated to secure all three points. A win could see them leapfrog into the playoff spots, depending on other results. The home crowd will expect a strong attacking display, especially against an opponent that has struggled defensively in recent weeks.
Pau FC enter this final round with little at stake but pride. They currently occupy ninth place in Ligue 2 and cannot climb into the playoff zone. Their recent performances, however, have been disappointing. The team suffered heavy defeats in their last two matches — 1-3 against Nancy and 1-5 against Annecy — conceding eight goals in total. Over their last five games, Pau have managed two wins and three losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per match while conceding 2.6. These numbers underline their defensive fragility, particularly away from home.
Throughout the season, Pau’s record stands at 12 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match. While they have shown flashes of attacking quality, their inability to maintain defensive stability has cost them valuable points. Facing a motivated Reims side, Pau will need to tighten up at the back if they want to avoid ending the season with a third consecutive defeat.
Although Pau have little to play for, they could still influence the promotion race. Their attacking players might look to end the season on a high note, but their defensive record suggests that keeping Reims quiet will be a difficult task. The visitors’ main challenge will be to stay compact and avoid conceding early, as Reims tend to dominate the first halves of their home fixtures.
This encounter promises to be intense, with Reims fighting for a playoff spot and Pau FC aiming to finish the season respectably. The home side’s recent unbeaten streak and strong half-time performances make them favorites to take all three points. Reims’ balanced attack and solid defense could prove decisive against a Pau team that has struggled to contain opponents in recent weeks. Given the statistics, a match with more than one goal seems likely, as both teams have shown tendencies toward open play in recent fixtures.
Historically, Pau won the last head-to-head 2-0 in August 2025, but the current context is very different. Reims’ motivation and home advantage could tilt the balance in their favor this time. Expect the hosts to push forward from the start, seeking an early lead to control the rhythm of the game. Pau, meanwhile, may rely on counterattacks but will need to be more efficient than in their recent outings.
BetMines prediction for Reims vs Pau FC:
Home Win (1) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Reims
Pau
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2