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Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 10:49 AM by Dario in France - Ligue 2 | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 11:04 AM
The clash between Reims and Red Star promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 31st round in Ligue 2. Scheduled for Saturday afternoon, this encounter brings together two teams fighting for promotion in the final stretch of the season. Both sides are separated by only a few points in the standings, and every result now carries significant weight in the race for the playoff spots. Reims, currently just ahead of their rivals, will look to take advantage of home support to regain momentum, while Red Star arrive in excellent form and eager to continue their impressive run.
Reims have shown mixed results in recent weeks, struggling to convert draws into victories. Their last five matches produced one win, three draws, and one defeat, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. The most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw against Laval on April 10, a result that underlined both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over the course of the season, Reims have recorded 12 wins, 12 draws, and 6 defeats, maintaining a solid average of 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match in Ligue 2.
Despite their balanced record, the team’s inability to secure consistent victories has prevented them from climbing higher in the table. They currently sit 4th in Ligue 2, just one place above Red Star. A notable trend in their recent fixtures is the low-scoring nature of their games: under 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 13 matches, and under 0.5 goals have occurred in 5 of their last 10 league encounters. This pattern suggests a cautious approach early in matches, often relying on defensive organization before pushing forward in the second half.
At home, Reims have been difficult to beat but have also struggled to dominate. Four of their last ten home games in Ligue 2 have ended with under 0.5 goals, reflecting a tendency toward tight, tactical contests. Their defensive line remains one of the strongest in the division, anchored by a reliable goalkeeper and a disciplined backline. However, the lack of cutting edge in attack has cost them valuable points, particularly against lower-ranked opponents. To stay in the promotion race, they will need to rediscover their winning touch quickly.
Red Star approach this match in excellent form, having collected 10 points from their last four league fixtures. Their latest victory, a thrilling 4-3 win over Bastia on April 11, showcased their attacking flair and resilience. Over their last five matches, they have achieved three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 13 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, with averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match — numbers that highlight their consistency and balance between offense and defense.
Currently 5th in Ligue 2, Red Star remain firmly in contention for a playoff spot. Their away performances have been particularly disciplined, with under 3.5 total goals scored in each of their last 14 away matches. This statistic reflects a pragmatic approach on the road, where they prioritize structure and efficiency over risk-taking. In fact, four of their last 16 league games have ended with no goals scored at all, underlining their ability to control the tempo and limit opponents’ opportunities.
Confidence is high within the squad after recent results, and several key players have stepped up at crucial moments. Their attacking unit has shown creativity and determination, while the defense continues to provide stability. The team’s recent improvement has allowed them to close the gap on the top four, and a positive result in Reims would further strengthen their position in the promotion race. Given their current momentum, Red Star will travel with belief that they can at least avoid defeat against a direct rival.
This encounter is expected to be a tactical battle between two well-organized sides. Both Reims and Red Star boast strong defensive records, and their previous head-to-head meeting ended in a goalless draw on December 13, 2025. Historically, this fixture has produced few goals, with Reims averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded across their last three meetings with Red Star. Given these trends, another low-scoring match could be on the cards.
Reims will likely rely on their defensive solidity and home advantage to dictate the rhythm, while Red Star’s recent attacking form could make them dangerous on the counter. The hosts have drawn seven of their last nine league games, a sign of both resilience and frustration. Meanwhile, Red Star’s confidence and recent scoring spree suggest they will not settle easily. The balance of power appears finely poised, and a draw would not be a surprising outcome given the context and statistical background.
From a betting perspective, the data points toward a cautious affair. The probability of both teams scoring stands at 52%, while the likelihood of under 2.5 total goals is slightly higher at 52%. Reims are given a 44% chance of winning, compared to 30% for Red Star and 26% for a draw. These figures underline how evenly matched the two sides are heading into this crucial fixture.
Reims vs Red Star prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Reims
Red Star
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3