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Prediction published on Oct 9, 2026 3:34 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 9, 2026 3:34 PM
Rennes host Auxerre at Roazhon Park on October 11 at 15:15 local time in a Ligue 1 fixture between the teams currently ranked fifth and tenth. Rennes have won three of their five league matches, but their latest listed result was a 1-0 defeat to Laval on October 2. Auxerre arrive after a 4-3 win over Clermont on the same date and have taken three victories from their last five matches. The visitors have yet to collect a point away from home in the opening stages of the league season, making this a chance for Rennes to reassert themselves while testing Auxerre’s recent improvement.
Rennes began their Ligue 1 campaign with wins over Le Mans FC, Angers and Marseille, as well as a 2-2 draw with PSG. A 4-0 league defeat away to Lyon then interrupted that start. They also drew 0-0 at Sturm Graz in the Europa League, and the more recent loss to Laval adds to the case for a response in this home match.
Their five-match record stands at two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Those attacking figures contrast with their Ligue 1 season average of 1.6 goals scored across five matches. Rennes have shown they can win in the league, but turning their possession of home advantage into goals will be important against an Auxerre side coming off a victory.
Estéban Lepaul has scored three Ligue 1 goals and gives Rennes a clear attacking reference. Mousa Al-Tamari, meanwhile, was still seeking his first decisive contribution of the campaign in the supplied match account. Behind them, that account highlights goalkeeper Brice Samba and defenders Przemysław Frankowski, Charlie Cresswell and Mahamadou Nagida. Rennes will look for a more assured overall display after their recent setbacks.
Auxerre lost their first three Ligue 1 fixtures, against Lens, Angers and Lyon, before recovering with successive wins over Nice and Brest. Their latest listed match brought another victory, a 4-3 result against Clermont on October 2. Across their last five games, they have recorded three wins and two defeats, scoring 1.8 goals and conceding 2.0 per match on average.
Their league record remains two wins and three losses, with averages of 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Those numbers show both the progress Auxerre have made in finding goals and the defensive concern they carry into this trip. Their away record is another hurdle: according to the supplied match account, they took no points from their first two Ligue 1 away fixtures.
Cameron Archer scored three goals in his first three Ligue 1 appearances for Auxerre and is a player Rennes will need to watch. The visitors’ options are affected by injuries to Marvin Senaya, Bryan Okoh, Telli Siwe, Sékou Fofana and Assane Dioussé, while Christ Makosso is suspended. The supplied account also identifies Mamadou Diop, Axel Tuanzebe and Kévin Danois as important members of the Auxerre side.
This Ligue 1 preview presents a contest between Rennes’ stronger start to the league season and Auxerre’s improving recent results. Rennes sit fifth with three wins, one draw and one loss in league play; Auxerre are tenth with two wins and three losses. Rennes’ recent five-match scoring average of 0.6 goals offers a reason for caution, while Auxerre’s five-match average of 2.0 goals conceded suggests the hosts could find opportunities if they respond well to their latest defeat.
Auxerre’s 4-3 win over Clermont underlines their ability to score, but it also fits a wider pattern of matches in which they have conceded regularly. There has been at least one second-half goal, by either team, in each of their last ten Ligue 1 matches. That statistic says little about which side will score here, but it does point to the importance of staying focused throughout the game.
The head-to-head figures offer a further note of caution for Rennes: across the five meetings covered by the supplied summary, their record is one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The most recent meeting ended 0-3 on February 22, 2026. Even so, Auxerre’s lack of away points and Rennes’ better league record give the hosts the stronger case ahead of this fixture. Whether Rennes can convert that advantage into a win will depend in part on improving their recent attacking output against visitors who have become more effective going forward.
Rennes vs Auxerre prediction from BetMines: Rennes win (1) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rennes
Auxerre
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
8
2
7
3