Tools
Prediction published on Oct 17, 2025 4:07 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 17, 2025 4:40 PM
The eighth round of Ligue 1 brings an intriguing clash at Roazhon Park, where Stade Rennais host AJ Auxerre on Sunday at 17:15. Both sides enter this fixture under pressure to improve their league positions. Rennes, despite a busy summer transfer window, have yet to find consistency, while Auxerre are struggling near the relegation zone after a poor start to the campaign. This encounter could prove decisive for both teams as they seek to change their early-season fortunes.
After a turbulent 2024/25 season, Rennes invested heavily in the summer, bringing in Quentin Merlin, Valentin Rongier, Breel Embolo, and Estéban Lepaul. Despite these reinforcements, the team coached by Habib Beye sits only 10th in Ligue 1. Their campaign so far has been marked by inconsistency: two wins, four draws, and one defeat. The Bretons have drawn their last three league games — 2-2 against Nantes, 0-0 with Lens, and 2-2 versus Le Havre — showing both attacking potential and defensive fragility.
Statistically, Rennes have been involved in entertaining matches. Over 0.5 goals have been scored in 39 of their last 40 fixtures, and in 27 of their last 29 Ligue 1 games, there has been at least one goal in the second half. However, they often start cautiously, with under 1.5 goals at half-time in their last 11 home matches. Their average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season reflects a team still searching for balance.
On the personnel front, Przemyslaw Frankowski remains doubtful, while Hans Hateboer could soon depart for Lyon. Otherwise, Beye can rely on a full squad, including goalkeeper Brice Samba, one of the most reliable in the league. In midfield, Valentin Rongier has quickly become a key figure, while Estéban Lepaul has impressed with three goals in his first few appearances. Breel Embolo also opened his account before the international break, adding further firepower to the attack.
Things look far less promising for Auxerre, who have endured a difficult start to the season. After comfortably avoiding relegation last year, Christophe Pélissier’s men have lost five of their first seven matches, winning only twice — both by 1-0 margins against Lorient and Toulouse. Their recent form is worrying, with back-to-back defeats to PSG (2-0) and Lens (1-2). The latter loss was particularly painful, as they conceded late despite playing with a numerical advantage.
Auxerre’s attacking output has been modest, averaging just 0.7 goals per game, while conceding 1.4 on average. They have lost at half-time in their last three away matches, a sign of their slow starts on the road. However, they have managed to score in most of their recent fixtures, with over 0.5 goals recorded in each of their last 24 Ligue 1 outings. The team currently sits 14th in the table, dangerously close to the relegation zone, and needs a positive result to regain confidence.
Defensively, Sinaly Diomandé and Telli Siwe are unavailable, while Lasso Coulibaly remains doubtful. In midfield, Kévin Danois will be crucial in dictating play and providing stability. Up front, Lassine Sinayoko has been a bright spot, scoring twice in Ligue 1 and adding a brace for Mali during the international break. His form could be key if Auxerre are to trouble Rennes’ backline.
Both teams approach this match with contrasting ambitions but similar urgency. Rennes aim to climb closer to the European spots, while Auxerre are desperate to escape the relegation zone. The hosts have drawn four of their last five matches, showing resilience but also a lack of cutting edge. Meanwhile, the visitors’ defensive lapses have cost them valuable points, particularly away from home.
Historically, this fixture has been balanced, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Auxerre in April 2025. Given Rennes’ attacking depth and Auxerre’s vulnerability, goals are expected at Roazhon Park. Both sides have shown a tendency to concede, and with players like Lepaul and Sinayoko in form, the attacking exchanges could be lively.
Rennes’ home advantage and superior squad quality make them favorites, but their recent run of draws suggests that Auxerre could still find opportunities to score. The match is likely to be open, especially in the second half, where Rennes often increase their tempo and where most of their recent goals have come.
Rennes vs Auxerre prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Home Win (1) with a 57% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rennes
Auxerre
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1