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Prediction published on Jan 16, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Jan 16, 2026 5:02 PM
The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Stade Rennais and Le Havre AC promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 18th round. Scheduled for Sunday at 17:15, this encounter at Roazhon Park brings together two sides with very different ambitions. Rennes are pushing hard for a European qualification spot, while Le Havre are focused on maintaining their top-flight status. The hosts have been in excellent form recently, climbing to sixth place in the standings, just two points behind the top four. Meanwhile, Le Havre’s recent victory over Angers has given them some breathing space in the lower half of the table.
Rennes have rediscovered their rhythm after a challenging start to the season. Under the guidance of their current coach, the team has shown remarkable consistency, winning four of their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent 1-3 triumph over US Chantilly in the Coupe de France highlighted their attacking prowess and squad depth. In Ligue 1, Rennes have recorded eight wins, six draws, and three defeats, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
At home, the Bretons have been particularly dominant, winning at half time in each of their last three league games at Roazhon Park. Their attacking line, led by Estéban Lepaul and Breel Embolo, has been in lethal form, with the duo combining for 13 goals this season. The team’s offensive consistency is further underlined by the fact that over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 37 of their last 40 matches. This trend suggests that Rennes often finish games strongly, a quality that could prove decisive once again.
Defensively, Rennes have also tightened up, keeping a clean sheet in their recent 0-2 away win against Lille. Their backline, supported by goalkeeper Brice Samba, has shown increasing stability. The absence of a few players due to suspension or international duty has not disrupted their momentum, as the squad’s depth continues to deliver results.
Le Havre approach this fixture with a more modest objective — securing enough points to stay comfortably above the relegation line. Their recent 2-1 win over Angers ended a six-match winless streak and lifted them to 13th place in the table. With four wins, six draws, and seven defeats this season, Le Havre have averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, reflecting their struggles in front of goal.
In their last five outings, the visitors have managed just one victory, alongside one draw and three defeats. Their attack has been inconsistent, averaging only 0.4 goals per match during that stretch. However, their defensive discipline has kept them competitive, as under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last ten matches. This pattern suggests that Le Havre often engage in low-scoring encounters, relying on compact defending and counterattacks.
On the road, Le Havre’s form remains a concern. They have lost their last two away games and have found it difficult to score, with under 0.5 goals recorded in two of their last ten away fixtures. Their attacking hopes rest on Issa Soumaré, who has contributed three goals and two assists this season but has not been decisive since mid-October. The team will also miss several key players due to injuries and international commitments, which could further limit their options against a high-flying Rennes side.
This matchup pits one of Ligue 1’s most in-form teams against a side battling for consistency. Rennes’ attacking efficiency and home advantage make them clear favorites. They have scored at least two goals in each of their last four matches in all competitions, while Le Havre have struggled to find the net regularly. The head-to-head record also favors the hosts, with Rennes unbeaten in their last five meetings against Le Havre (three wins and two draws), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Given Rennes’ strong second-half performances and Le Havre’s tendency to keep matches tight, the game could start cautiously before opening up as it progresses. The visitors’ defensive structure might frustrate Rennes early on, but the home side’s attacking depth and confidence should eventually make the difference. Expect Rennes to control possession, create numerous chances, and push for an early lead to maintain their momentum in the race for European qualification.
Rennes vs Le Havre prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 66% probability.
The data strongly supports a victory for Rennes, who have been dominant both statistically and in recent form. While Le Havre’s defensive resilience could limit the scoreline, the hosts’ attacking firepower and consistency make them the clear favorites to claim all three points at Roazhon Park.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rennes
Le Havre
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
2
8
8
2
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2