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Prediction published on Oct 24, 2025 4:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 24, 2025 4:05 PM
The clash between Stade Rennais and OGC Nice promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the ninth round of Ligue 1. Scheduled for Sunday at 17:15 at the Roazhon Park, this encounter brings together two sides with European ambitions but inconsistent performances so far. Both teams are level on points in mid-table, with Rennes sitting slightly ahead in 9th place and Nice just behind in 10th. The hosts are under pressure to deliver after a string of draws, while the visitors arrive with renewed confidence following a strong domestic showing despite their European struggles.
After a promising summer transfer window, expectations were high for Rennes to challenge for European qualification. However, the start of the season has been far from ideal. The team has managed only two wins in eight Ligue 1 matches, drawing five and losing one. Their recent run of four consecutive draws—against Nantes (2-2), Lens (0-0), Le Havre (2-2), and Auxerre (2-2)—has left coach Habib Beye under increasing scrutiny.
Despite their struggles, Rennes remain a difficult side to beat. They have scored in nearly every game this season, averaging 1.4 goals per match, while conceding 1.5. Their attacking play has been lively, with Estéban Lepaul and Breel Embolo both finding form in recent weeks. In midfield, summer signing Valentin Rongier has quickly become a key figure, providing balance and creativity. Defensively, Jérémy Jacquet and Alidu Seidu have been solid, while goalkeeper Brice Samba continues to impress with his leadership and shot-stopping ability.
Rennes’ matches have been consistently entertaining, with over 0.5 goals scored in 39 of their last 40 games across all competitions. Moreover, they tend to come alive after the break, as over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 30 of their last 32 matches. This attacking tendency, however, has not been matched by defensive stability, which remains a concern for Beye as he seeks to guide his team back to winning ways.
Nice have endured a mixed campaign so far, balancing domestic improvement with European disappointment. Their recent 2-1 defeat to Celta de Vigo in the Europa League marked their third consecutive loss in the competition, but in Ligue 1, the Aiglons have shown signs of revival. They are unbeaten in their last three league matches, including a thrilling 3-2 victory over Lyon and a hard-fought 2-2 draw with Monaco despite playing much of the game with ten men.
Under coach Franck Haise, Nice have rediscovered some attacking flair. Sofiane Diop has been in outstanding form, contributing three goals and one assist in his last two Ligue 1 appearances. Mohamed-Ali Cho has also impressed, scoring in Europe and adding pace to the frontline. However, injuries continue to affect the squad, with Moïse Bombito, Mohamed Abdelmonem, Youssouf Ndayishimiye, and Terem Moffi all sidelined. The positive news is that goalkeeper Yehvann Diouf has regained confidence, producing a standout performance against Lyon, including a crucial penalty save.
Statistically, Nice’s matches have been open and entertaining. They have seen over 0.5 goals in each of their last 40 games and over 1.5 goals in their last 14 away fixtures. However, their defense remains vulnerable, having conceded in each of their last 16 away matches. Despite this, their attacking potential makes them a constant threat, especially with Diop in such fine form.
This fixture has often been unpredictable, with both sides capable of producing high-intensity football. Rennes will look to dominate possession and exploit their home advantage, while Nice are likely to rely on quick transitions and the creativity of Diop to unsettle the hosts. The home side’s tendency to draw matches could again come into play, especially given Nice’s resilience and ability to score away from home.
Historically, the head-to-head record between these teams is balanced, with Rennes winning two of the last five meetings and Nice taking three. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Rennes in May 2025. Given both teams’ current form, another close contest seems likely, with goals expected on both sides.
Rennes’ attacking consistency and Nice’s defensive fragility suggest that this could be a lively encounter. Both teams have scored in more than half of their recent matches, and their offensive players are in good form. However, Rennes’ inability to convert draws into wins and Nice’s strong away scoring record could make this a tightly contested affair.
BetMines Prediction:
The most likely outcome is a Rennes win (1) with a 52% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 25%, while a Nice win (2) stands at 24%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rennes
Nice
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
2
8
7
3
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
8
2
10
0