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Prediction published on Oct 14, 2026 4:04 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Oct 14, 2026 4:04 AM
Rennes host OFI at Roazhon Park on Thursday, October 15, with kick-off at 19:00 local time. The Europa League fixture brings together sides that opened their campaigns without conceding: Rennes drew 0-0 away to Sturm Graz, while OFI beat Hoffenheim 2-0 at home. Rennes sit 17th in the supplied Europa League rankings and OFI are ninth, but the hosts return to familiar surroundings after a convincing domestic win. OFI, by contrast, arrive following a heavy away defeat. That difference in recent results makes home and away form a central part of this Rennes vs OFI match preview.
Rennes responded to a two-match winless spell across all competitions by beating Auxerre 4-1 at home on October 11. The sequence had included their goalless Europa League draw at Sturm Graz, so the Auxerre result offered a sharp change in attacking output. Their broader five-match record remains mixed, however: two wins, one draw and two defeats, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game. The four goals against Auxerre were therefore a notable improvement on that recent scoring average rather than a reflection of consistently high returns.
Home form gives Rennes a stronger basis for confidence. They have won their last three matches at Roazhon Park and have taken eight wins from their previous 14 European home games, alongside five draws and one defeat. Those figures do not settle this fixture, but they help explain why a return home matters after a scoreless start away from home. Rennes have yet to score or concede in this Europa League campaign, leaving their opening draw as the only competition result available for assessing their form in this phase.
There is also a recurring match statistic worth watching: more than 7.5 corners have been taken in each of Rennes' last 15 matches. That refers to the total corners in those games, not corners won by Rennes alone. It points to a consistent feature of their recent fixtures, although the more immediate question here is whether they can build on the attacking display against Auxerre.
OFI made a productive Europa League start with a 2-0 home victory over Hoffenheim. Their most recent result was far less encouraging: a 3-0 loss away to AEK Athens on October 10. Since the Hoffenheim win, they have gone two matches without another victory, recording one draw and one defeat. The contrast between those results makes it difficult to judge them solely by either their European opener or their latest setback.
Across their last five matches, OFI have three wins, one draw and one loss. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in that span, giving them a better recent scoring average than Rennes. The 2-0 win over Hoffenheim also showed that they can take a chance and keep a clean sheet in this competition. Repeating that outcome away from home, though, is a different test.
OFI have won just one of their last four competitive away matches, with one draw and two defeats completing that run. The loss at AEK Athens is the latest example of their difficulties on the road. Their strong Europa League opening result deserves attention, but the trip to face a Rennes side with three consecutive home wins presents a challenge.
The available evidence points in different directions. Rennes could not find a goal at Sturm Graz, yet scored four against Auxerre in their next reported result. OFI kept Hoffenheim out while scoring twice, then conceded three without reply at AEK Athens. Both teams therefore have reason to value their Europa League clean sheets, while their more recent domestic matches show how quickly the scoring picture can change.
The clearest distinction is the setting. Rennes have won three straight home fixtures and lost only once in their last 14 European home games. OFI's overall five-match record is stronger, but their return of one win from four competitive away games makes that form less reassuring ahead of this trip. Rennes will still need to turn home advantage into a goal: their Europa League opener finished 0-0, and their average across the last five matches is only 1.0 goal scored.
The supplied win probabilities give Rennes a 61% chance of victory, compared with 21% for a draw and 18% for OFI. Those figures align with the contrast between Rennes' home results and OFI's recent away record, while the visitors' win over Hoffenheim remains a reminder that they have already delivered in this competition. On balance, Rennes' record at Roazhon Park provides the strongest basis for the match prediction.
Rennes vs OFI prediction from BetMines: Rennes win (1) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rennes
OFI
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
3
7
5
5
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
8
2
10
0