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Prediction published on Oct 23, 2026 4:44 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 23, 2026 4:44 PM
Rennes host Strasbourg at Roazhon Park on Sunday, October 25, in a Ligue 1 match between sides experiencing contrasting starts to the season. Rennes are sixth after seven league games and return home following a 2-2 draw away to Juventus on October 22. Strasbourg arrive in 14th place, one point above the relegation zone, having lost their last three league fixtures. Rennes have been particularly effective at home, while Strasbourg are searching for a way to halt their losing run. Kick-off is scheduled for 16:15 local time.
Rennes have taken four wins, one draw and two defeats from their first seven Ligue 1 matches. They have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per league game. Across their last five matches in all competitions, their record is two wins, one draw and two losses, with averages of 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
The contrast between home and away results is central to this Rennes vs Strasbourg preview. Rennes lost two of their last three league away games, falling 4-0 to Lyon and 4-3 to Paris FC. At Roazhon Park, however, they have collected 10 points from their first four league fixtures and won their last three. That run gives them an opportunity to build on their position near the top of the table.
Rennes also come into the fixture after drawing 2-2 with Juventus away from home. They remain unbeaten after their first three Europa League league-phase matches, and Boulaye Dia scored against Juventus. Estéban Lepaul, who missed that match, remains uncertain for Strasbourg's visit. The squad also features goalkeeper Brice Samba, defenders Charlie Cresswell and Mahamadou Nagida, and midfielders Adrien Thomasson, Valentin Rongier and Mahdi Camara.
There is a second-half trend worth watching at Roazhon Park: at least one goal has been scored after the interval in 18 of Rennes' last 20 home matches. That figure refers to total goals in those games, rather than goals scored by Rennes alone.
Strasbourg have two wins, one draw and four losses from seven Ligue 1 games. Their league averages stand at 1.7 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match. Over their most recent five fixtures, they have recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, scoring and conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game.
After opening with a 4-0 loss to Marseille, Strasbourg responded with victories over Lens and Troyes, followed by a 1-1 draw with Monaco. Their results have since turned again: defeats to Paris FC, Nice and Paris Saint-Germain make it three consecutive league losses. The most recent was a 3-1 home defeat against Paris Saint-Germain on October 17.
Keeping opponents out has been a persistent problem. Strasbourg have conceded at least once in each of their last 16 matches, including their last 15 in Ligue 1. Each of their last 15 league games has featured at least two goals in total. Those trends reflect goals scored by both teams combined, not necessarily goals scored by Strasbourg.
Strasbourg will be without Ismaël Doukouré, Sebastian Nanasi, Fábio Baldé and Joaquin Panichelli. Their available options include goalkeeper Filip Jörgensen, defenders Genesis Antwi, Jeyland Mitchell and Oso, midfielders Pape Demba Diop and Giovanni Reyna, and attacking players Gessime Yassine, Samuel Amo-Ameyaw and Conrad Harder.
The clearest difference between the teams is their recent league form in the circumstances of this fixture. Rennes have won three straight home league matches, whereas Strasbourg have lost three straight league matches overall. Strasbourg's record of conceding in 16 consecutive games offers Rennes an opening, although the hosts' average of 2.0 goals conceded per Ligue 1 game shows they have had defensive difficulties of their own.
Goals have been a regular feature of Strasbourg's league fixtures, and Rennes' recent results include both a 4-3 defeat at Paris FC and the 2-2 draw with Juventus. The head-to-head record is relatively close: across the five meetings in the supplied summary, Rennes have three wins and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Recent home form therefore makes a stronger case for Rennes than the historical record alone.
For Strasbourg, the immediate task is to break a sequence of defeats while facing a Rennes side that has taken 10 of the first 12 league points available to it at Roazhon Park. Rennes, meanwhile, will look to carry their home momentum into another Ligue 1 fixture after their midweek draw. Their respective recent runs make the hosts the more convincing choice, even if both teams' goals-conceded figures leave room for an open contest.
Rennes vs Strasbourg prediction from BetMines: Rennes win (1) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Rennes
Strasbourg
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
3
7
3
7
3.5
5
5
6
4
4.5
7
3
8
2